Australia need a win, Uruguay are more of a whipping boy, that despite their recent thriller win over Fiji. For Australia, the equation is simple, they need to win heavily and be victorious by a large score-line is exactly what the Wallabies will do. They showed great glimpses of what they can do in short periods against Wales. If they can string it all together for one consistent effort over the course of a whole game, then the Uruguayan’s may as well not even bother to show up. Argentina are looking for the big, big upset against a high-point scoring English side. And the Pumas should get it. Unlike England, Argentina have actually played a high-quality nation this World Cup in the form of France. And they pushed them all the way before going down 23-21. Expect the unexpected to happen here. Finally, Japan are going of so far. And they capped of their great performance with a resounding and upset seven point win over Ireland. Expect them to make light work of the struggling Samoan’s.
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Wallabies vs Uruguay
Venue: Oita Stadium | Start: 3:15PM (AEST)
Wallabies last game out, produced a stirring comeback vs Wales. But it wasn’t quite good enough as they went down 29 points to 25. This match marks one game that Reece Hodge will be serving courtesy of his three games suspension. Australia owned 63% of the ball and 76% of it in H2, but it wasn’t good enough to get it done. Although some atrocious refereeing decisions didn’t exactly go in their favour either. The Wallabies actually outscored the Welsh three tries to two, but they couldn’t make it count when it came to kicking. One key stat though was that they won 122 rucks to Wales 64! They also won 12 lineouts to seven and they gave away less penalties then the opposition as well. Given that Australia currently sit 3rd in Pool D, they absolutely need a resounding win here. And who better to do it against then the last placed Uruguayan’s who have a PD of -23.
Uruguay were hammered in their last match as they went down by 26 points to Georgia. They managed to score just the solitary try whilst conceding five themselves. In total Uruguay only had 41% possession throughout the match. In H1 it was 46% and H2 had them at 38%, not exactly winning statistics. They only made 175m’s and had just the 80 carries for the game. They missed 25 tackles, conceded 15 penalties and gave away the one red card. This was a poor effort from the minnow nation. And given the Wallabies simply desperate desire to be victorious in this match. It could prove to be a long, long game for the Uruguayan’s.
Head to Head: Wallabies $1.00 – Bet365
Win Margin: Wallabies 13+ $1.01- BetEasy
Handicap: Wallabies -51 $1.91- Bet365
Total Points: There will be more total points in the 1st half then the 2nd $1.62 – Bet365
England vs Argentina
Venue: Tokyo Stadium | Start: 6:00PM (AEST)
England were absolute weapons in their last game as they piled on the pain for USA, defeating them by 38 points! England scored through John Ford inside the opening five minutes of the game and they never truly looked back from there as they scored try after try after try. Seven tries to one to be exact. The English had 70% possession throughout the game meaning that they had plenty of time to run with the ball. They made 639m’s. Significantly more then double of what USA made as they had 233m’s. England also made 24 clean breaks to four. And noticeably, they only had to make 61 tackles compared to the American’s 169. England are first in their group, but are yet to face a legitimate nation such as the Pumas. To the English’s benefit, the last time they faced of against Argentina, they proved victorious in a 21-8 scoreline. The game before that, which was not in England, they also proved to be in the winners circle, winning 35-25.
The Pumas in their last game beat Tonga by 16 points, 28-12. They scored four tries to two and had 53% possession of the ball in both H1 and H2. However, the time they spent in the Pacific Islanders half was 61%. Tonga actually outpaced the Pumas in a lot of categories. These include, defenders beaten, 28 vs seven. Offloads eight vs two. Turnovers 12 vs 18. Missed tackles, seven vs 28. That’s just to name a few of them. But to the Argentine’s credit they stuck strong and got the victory that they thoroughly deserved. And that’s exactly what the great sides do, they remain intact even when they’re having a bad day or things are going against them. There’s been a few upsets so far this World Cup and the Puma’s pouncing on England should prove to be one of them.
Head to Head: Argentina $8.80- BetFair
Win Margin: Argentina 1-12 $9.60- BetFair
Line: Argentina $1.50- BetFair
Total Points: Argentina will reach 20 total points first $6.75- UniBet
Japan vs Samoa
Venue: City of Toyota Stadium | Start: 8:30PM (AEST)
WOW, WOW, WOW, WOW, WOW!!!!! Japan shocked every single Rugby supporter throughout the whole world as they pulled a rabbit out of the hat and defeated Ireland in a tight seven points, 19-12 win. Kenki Fukuoka scored what proved to be the match-winning try in the 59th minute of the match. It was a great, deserved and hard-fought battle/victory for the Japanese side. They only had 51% possession of the ball and in the second it was at just 44%. Japan actually only scored one try, whilst Ireland crossed for two. But the WC hosts made it count in other departments. They won 115 rucks to their 107. And they only lost one lineout to Ireland’s two. They also only gave away six penalties to the oppositions nine. Japan are currently 2nd in their group, but a win here would push them up their deserved 1st place again. They have everything in the world to play for here against Samoa.
For the Samoan’s, they were severely punished by a ruthless Scotland side, 34-0. Compounding the heavy loss was the fact that they lost Ed Fidow to a red card in the 74th minute of the match. Samoa were pretty shabby with the ball as they had just 47% of the ball overall. In H1 it was at 43% and H2 had them at 52%. They ran for only 299m’s vs Scotland’s 534. They beat only 18 defenders to their 33. This quite clearly wasn’t their best effort. And Japan are raring so far this World Cup. If Samoa don’t turn up to this one, just like the last one, then again unfortunately for them, this match will more then likely produce an ugly score-line in Japan’s favour.
Head to Head: Japan $1.14- BetFair
Win Margin: Japan 30+ $3.50- BetEasy
Line: Japan -19 $1.91- Bet365
Total Points: Japan will reach a total of 10 points first $1.17- SportsBet