Argentina, Scotland and Wales should somehow and someway eventually prove to be a class above all of the USA, Russia and Fiji respectively. Despite the Pumas utterly mad inconsistency so far this World Cup, they will be waaaay to good for America. Scotland will smash Russia, don’t even give it a second thought. However, what will be a closely fought match-up will be Wales vs Fiji. Wales need a victory to be on top on their group. And Fiji need a win to stay alive in the competition. It is quite literally do or die for the Pacific Islanders. They’ll need to summon everything they have left in the tank and channel their inner match vs Georgia, a game which ended 45-10 in their favor to have any chance at all of sneaking past the Welsh. If your only watching one of the three games on offer. This is by far the best pick of the bunch!
Wednesday, October 09, 2019
Argentina vs USA
Venue: Kumagaya Rugby Stadium | Start: 3:45PM (AEST)
Tomas Lavanini saw red in the 17th minute of the match and for the Pumas, that changed the complexion and eventual outcome of their 29 point defeat to England. The scores were close when he was sent off. After that Argentina didn’t score another point until the 71st minute via a Moroni try. In the first half, the Pumas had just 36% of the ball. In the second, they had only 46% of it. Overall they held a poor 41% of it. They conceded six tries to one and made just 256m’s to ENG’s 433m’s. They also beat just 17 defenders and had only five clean breaks. They gave up the ball 15 times and missed 28 tackles. They won just 75 rucks and three mauls. Eight was the number of penalties that they gave away. It didn’t exactly make for pretty viewing at times from the Pumas. This game is just a pride game. However, America are last in Pool C with a PD of -62. So you can expect the Argentine’s to land a real blow here.
A positive, uplifting performance here would simply put, be a great result for America. Barring an unlikely win, they will more then likely finish last in their pool. But they can still give their travelling fans something to write home about by putting in a good shift against the Pumas. The USA’s last match was a 33 points to nine defeat against France. AJ MacGinty kicked three penalty goals for the Eagles and that is where all their points came from. They had only 44% possession throughout the game. The 2nd half was particularly bad for them as they held just 36% of the ball. They gave up five tries to nil and made only 177m’s. They could only beat 13 defenders vs FRA 32. They also had only two clean breaks vs the oppositions 14. Offloads wise they could only muster up three and they gave up the ball 14 times. They also were forced to make a hugeee 148 tackles! This game could play out quite unexpectedly, or it could result in a massive Argentina victory. We’ll just have to wait and see.
Head to Head: Argentina $1.12- Betfair
Win Margin: Argentina 30+ $3.25- Beteasy
Handicap: Argentina -20 $1.90- Sportsbet
Total Points: Over 51.5 $1.91- Bet365
Scotland vs Russia
Venue: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa | Start: 6:15PM (AEST)
Scotland are 3rd in their group with a PD of 10. Russia however, their opponents for this game, have a PD of -80. This is a good chance for the Scots to cause some havoc on a lower tier nation. Their last game saw them beat Samoa with ease, 34 points to zero. Fidow saw red for the opposition in the 74th minute, but by then the result and the match was well and truly sealed. Scotland actually only scored two tries via Maitland and Laidlaw but they made their kicks count! Overall they had 57% possession throughout the match. And in H1 it was awesome for them as they held onto 65% of the ball. H2 however, was a different story, a completely different one, as they had just 49% possession. They beat 33 defenders and had 13 clean breaks. Samoa in comparison, beat just 18 and had just the two. Concerning to Scotland though, they gave up the ball 19 times. They also interestingly made more tackles then Samoa, 117 vs 108. Russia have shown some real grit and determination so far this WC, but even with that in mind, don’t expect the scores to be particularly close.
As mentioned before, the Bears are indeed last in Pool A. They have won 0/3 games and pretty soon it’ll be 0/4. But despite all that, they have been a fun minnow nation to both watch and follow this World Cup. In the Bears last match out, Ireland did it easy over them as they cruised to a 35-0 victory. Russia’s possession of the ball was just 37% overall. In H1, they held just 33% of it. And in H2, it was only marginally better at 41%. They let in five tries to zero and made just 150m’s. They had only 77 carries to Ireland’s 158. Russia beat only 11 defenders and had two clean breaks. They also had to make a massive 188 tackles. Massive especially when pitted against the 95 tackles Ireland completed. Russia also gave away ten penalties and two yellow cards. Credit to Ireland for getting done what they needed to get done.
Head to Head: Scotland $1.01- Unibet
Win Margin: Scotland 30+ $1.60- Beteasy
Line: Scotland -33 $1.91- Bet365
Total Points: Over 54.5 $1.91- Bet365
Wales vs Fiji
Venue: Oita Stadium | Start: 8:45PM (AEST)
The Welsh’s last game was a tight one that went right to the very, very end. They managed to withstand a calm and collected Wallabies comeback as they came out on top by four points, 29-25. Wales got outscored two tries to three. But their strong kicking game is what got them over the line in this one. And perhaps with a little bit of help from the referee ;). It was definitely not an easy match for them though as throughout the game, they had just 37% possession. Half one saw them own 51% of the ball. Half two was a lot crueler as they held just 24% of it. Wales had just 91 carriers to AUS 161. And made only 351m’s to AUS 569m’s. The Welsh also only had nine clean breaks next to their name. They did however, only concede nine turnovers. A win for them and they are back in 1st position. It’s pretty obvious which way the result will go.
Fiji’s latest result saw them beat Georgia with ease, 45-10, a 35 point margin of victory. Radradra bagged a double in the Pacific Islander’s romp. They had 54% possession overall. H1 was 53% and H2 was 55%. They scored seven tries to one and absolutely dominated the match. They ran for 559m’s and beat 41 defenders. They made 19 clean breaks and had to make just 86 tackles. They won 11 turnovers and a kicked a neat 5/7 conversions. They lost just one ruck and won 13 lineouts. And they also conceded just the eight penalties, along with zero yellows or reds. There’s still a faint, faint hope that Fiji could make it past the pool stage, but they need a good win here and for other results to also go their way. They will leave it all out on the line, but in the end, Wales should prove to be to strong and to talented for them.
Head to Head: Wales $1.13- Sportsbet
Win Margin: Wales 13+ $1.57- Sportsbet
Line: Wales -17 $1.91- Unibet
Total Points: Over 50.5 $1.91- Bet365