Wales vs France and Japan vs South Africa. Two simply awesome games of finals Rugby! On one hand you have a resurgent Welsh side that are coming of four strong victories in a row, including against the Wallabies. And then you have France, a side that has played in only mostly close games this World Cup. They have had two 23-21 victories so far. And the French have had the extra rest after their game vs ENG was called of. Then in the 2nd game, you have Japan, the fairy tale story of the Cup so far vs the mighty Springboks. A side who is consistently great. Japan beat both IRE and SCO to be here. South Africa lost to NZ in their opening game. And now they are looking to show out and put on a top class performance against a great nation. Bring it on!
Sunday, October 20, 2019
Wales vs France
Venue: Oita Stadium | Start: 6:15PM (AEST)
Wales 29-25 victory over Australia earlier on in the World Cup, is what saw them finish 1st in their pool. And most recently they posted a 35-13 win over Uruguay. Not the perfect opponent to prepare for an elimination finals game with, but a solid win never the less. They scored 4 tries to 1 and had 66% possession of the ball. In the 1st half it was 62% and in the 2nd half it was 69%. They also kept the Uruguayan’s to just 34% overall. They made 695m’s and beat 43 defenders. The opposition in comparison only beat nine. They also had 16 clean breaks to five. Alarmingly though, they turned the ball over a big 19 times! This is something that will need to be fixed against the Japanese. Tackling wise, they only had to make 98 compared to their 213. They also won 127 rucks and three mauls.
France were forced to finish 2nd in their group after the typhoon canceled their game against England. And whereas the English smashed Tonga, France could only just scrape by, 23-21 and that is what most cost them 1st place in their pool. They also only just scraped by Argentina, also ironically 23-21. Another contributing factor to their 2nd place finish. They beat Tonga, despite only having 39% possession throughout the game. Tonga had 61% of the ball! France were outscored two tries to three. They did however run for 564m’s. They also beat 30 defenders and had 14 clean breaks to five. They kept the ball moving with 104 passes and 14 offloads. All in all, they were probably slightly lucky to beat the Pacific Islanders.
Past history: The past three matches contested between these two sides have seen Wales win twice and France win once. Wales won the latest edition, 24-19. Wales then won 14-13. France got their 20-18 victory. All the games between these two sides recently have been very close and there’s absolutely no reason to expect this one to be any different at all. As already mentioned, France have won two games at this World Cup by only two points each time. Wales also this campaign have beaten Australia by four and had a semi-close clash against Fiji. This match is going to go down right to the wire!
Head to Head: France $3.50- Betfair
Win Margin: France 1-12 $4.00- Unibet, Beteasy
Handicap: France +7 $1.92- Unibet
Total Points: France will have a total of 10 points first $2.50- Beteasy
Japan vs South Africa
Venue: Tokyo Stadium | Start: 9:15PM (AEST)
Japan have been arguably been the team of the tournament so far. The home side has been exceptional as they topped Pool A and along the way beat both Ireland and Scotland. It’s magical times for them and their fans. However, the Springboks will turn their fairy tale into a nightmare and in in this game they will come back down to earth pretty quickly. Japan’s last game was a 28-21, seven point victory over Scotland. They held 54% possession and had an astonishing 74% in H1. They outscored them five tries to three and ran for 559m’s. They beat 33 defenders and had 13 clean breaks. They also had to make just 148 tackles to Scotland’s 199. This match did have some seriously strong defensive elements to it.
The Springboks finished 2nd in their group to only the All Blacks. Their opening 23-13 defeat to them proved to be quite costly in the end. South Africa should beat Japan quite comfortably here and this is where it’ll all end for the most beloved side of this years World Cup. The Springboks last game was an easy and a comfortable 66-7 win over Canada. They scored 10 tries to 1! And dominated the possession game with 63% of the ball. That includes the crazy 76% they had in H1. They made 689m’s and had 128 carries. They also beat 47 defenders and had 25 clean breaks. They did lose the ball 18 times though and against Canada that is a rather large concern.
This is where the story stops for Japan. No one could have possibly have predicted the break out campaign that they have had so far. They have brought a distressed nation some happiness and have been noticed around the world. They’ve left their mark on world Rugby and this campaign will be forever remembered by them and their fans. However, South Africa are one of the very best in the world and won’t be fazed or intimidated by any of this. They will be to classy on the day. But all the credit to Japan for achieving what they have achieved so far.
Head to Head: Springboks $1.21- Betfair
Win Margin: Springboks 13+ $1.71- Unibet
Line: Springboks -15 $1.96- Unibet
Total Points: Springboks will reach a total of 10 points first $1.22- Beteasy