UEFA Champions League Betting Preview

Thursday, October 24

Ajax vs Chelsea

Venue: | Start: 03:55

Ajax: Ajax currently sit atop group H after two impressive wins to start the campaign. They’ve scored an impressive 6 goals so far, while also boasting a perfect defensive record. Both opening matches have resulted in 3-0 wins, with the win over Valencia being particularly comfortable. They’ve also been very strong domestically, sitting atop the Dutch league with 26 points through 10 games.

Chelsea: Chelsea have had a mixed start to the Champions League so far, sitting in 3rd place on 3 points. This is due to the group stage rules, where they’re behind Valencia due to head-to-head record. They looked a much better outfit in their second game, a 2-1 win away at Lille. Their domestic form has also been much improved, now occupying a space in the all-important top 4.

Analysis: On paper, this definitely looks like a matchup between the two best teams in this group. I expect a very competitive fixture with some quality attacking football from both sides. This is born out by the very even odds, where I’d suggest that the draw market currently offers the best value. The 1-1 scoreline option also offers the best value for money, meaning that BTTS is also definitely in play.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Slavia Praha vs Barcelona

Venue: | Start: 06:00

Slavia Prague: It was always going to be tough for Slavia to break out of group F, with 3 very difficult opponents in their way. They’ve made a decent fist of it so far, sitting in 3rd place with 1 point. They managed an impressive point away at Inter on match day 1, before falling 2-0 to Dortmund last time out. Their league form is unsurprisingly outstanding, well atop the Czech league with 35 points through 13 games.

Barcelona: After an epic collapse in the semis last season, Barcelona opened this year as favourites yet again. They’ve negotiated a tough group so far, sitting in second place with 4 points. They earned a hard-fought draw away at Dortmund in week 1, followed by a solid win against Inter last time out. Their domestic form has also been impeccable, currently atop La Liga with 19 points in 9 games.

Analysis: Although Slavia have impressed domestically, this looks like a huge mismatch here. They will have the benefit of home field, but it really shouldn’t affect a strong veteran side like Barcelona. I expect a relatively cruisy road win here, with 2-0 a fairly likely final score. As additional bets, I also like Barcelona to win to nil and under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Barcelona
Half-time/Full-time: Barcelona/Barcelona
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Genk vs Liverpool

Venue: | Start: 06:00

Genk: It hasn’t been a great start to the campaign for Genk, who sit bottom of the group with 1 point so far. Their first game was particularly disastrous, falling 6-2 away to Red Bull Salzburg. Things definitely improved for game 2, where they competed valiantly and drew at home to Napoli. Their league form hasn’t been ideal, currently sitting 6th with 16 points through their opening 10.

Liverpool: After managing the win last season, Liverpool currently occupy 2nd spot in group E with 3 points. They started the campaign poorly, falling again at Napoli by a 2-0 scoreline. They did just enough to edge past Red Bull in game 2, managing a vital 3-2 home win. Despite dropping points to Man Utd at the weekend, they still occupy top spot in the Premier League.

Analysis: Liverpool haven’t been at their best in this competition, but I think this is a game where we see a focused effort. They’ll definitely be motivated to nab top spot in this group and try to right the wrong of last weekend. Their front 3 should definitely be too much here as they take this one 2-0. Liverpool to win to nil looks fairly good here, as does under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score

Inter Milan vs Dortmund

Venue: | Start: 06:00

Inter Milan: Inter currently sit last in a very difficult Group F, managing just 1 point so far. They started the campaign fairly poorly, only drawing against the projected whipping boys in Slavia. This was backed up by a respectable display against Barcelona, which they still lost 2-1. They’ve been fairly strong domestically, picking up 21 points through their first 8 games in Serie A.

Dortmund: Dortmund have been flying high in the Champions League so far, currently occupying top spot. They had a solid draw against Barcelona to kick things off, followed by a professional road win at Slavia. Their defence has been particularly impressive, yet to concede a goal so far. They’ve been good but not great in the Bundesliga, sitting in 4th place with 15 points through 8.

Analysis: This has all the makings of a competitive affair between two evenly matched teams. It is an absolutely crucial game for Inter, who are effectively eliminated with a loss here. I think the draw at over $3 looks the most appealing of the win markets, with 1-1 again the most likely result. I like BTTS in this one, also played with under 2.5 goals to create an effective middle opportunity.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Inter/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes