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Monday, October 28, 2019

TITANS VS BUCCANEERS

Venue: Nissan Stadium | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The top two picks from the 2015 draft will face off when the Tennessee Titans host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, but only Jameis Winston will be starting. Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota remains on the bench behind new starter Ryan Tannehill, though Mariota impersonated Winston while running the scout team this week. Tannehill impressed in his Tennessee starting debut, going 23 of 29 for 312 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in Sunday’s 23-20 win over the Chargers. Winston, meanwhile, will try to shake off his ugly Week 6 performance in London before the Bucs’ bye, when he threw five interceptions and lost a fumble while taking seven sacks in a loss to the Panthers. Winston, like Mariota, is in the fifth-year option of his rookie deal and still must prove to his team he’s worthy of an extension. After a scorching start to the season, Bucs linebacker Shaquil Barrett has cooled off, failing to register a quarterback hit in the last two games. He remains tied for the NFL lead with nine sacks. The Titans have their own defensive standout to keep an eye on, as first-round rookie D-lineman Jeffery Simmons totaled four tackles (two for loss) and a sack on just 21 snaps in his debut last week.

Win: Tennessee Titans | $1.71 – Beteasy
Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 | $1.98 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 45.5 | $1.93 – Sportsbet

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Titans are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Titans are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
  • Bucs are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

  • TB – S Jordan Whitehead (Arm) is listed questionable for week 8.
  • TEN – T Jack Conklin (Thigh), OL Nate Davis (Ribs), CB Andoree’ Jackson (Foot) and TE Delanie Walker (Ankle) are all listed as day-to-day.

BILLS VS EAGLES

Venue: New Era Field | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The Buffalo Bills are still in prove-it mode in a lot of ways given their record has been compiled against a group of third-tier competition. The Philadelphia Eagles are absolutely in prove-it mode, especially after last week’s letdown at Dallas that handed the Cowboys control of the NFC East division. The Eagles do have a marquee win — at Lambeau Field in primetime — but injuries and a secondary failing to slow down most quarterbacks remain major issues. Quarterback Carson Wentz won’t find easy sledding against Buffalo unless he gets better play from his running backs. That one big win also happened to be the best game of the season from the Philadelphia running backs — Jordan Howard had three TDs at Green Bay — who have failed to gain consistent traction otherwise. There is a lot to like about the Bills’ offense, particularly when quarterback Josh Allen isn’t trying to do too much. The Eagles aren’t getting to the quarterback often enough, and Allen has been slippery, making plays on his own and extended them when needed.

Win: Buffalo Bills | $1.83 – Unibet
Line: Buffalo Bills -2.0 | $1.92 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 43.5 | $1.86 – Sportsbet

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games
  • Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Bills

Key Injuries:

  • PHI – DT Fletcher Cox (Hand) and DT Hassan Ridgeway (Ankle) are both listed day-to-day.
  • BUF – S Kurt Coleman (Hamstring), CB Kevin Johnson (Head) and WR D’haquille Williams (Shoulder) are all listed as day-to-day.

BEARS VS CHARGERS

Venue: Soldier Field | Start: 4:00am AEDT

Turmoil is simmering in Chicago as the Bears slid to 3-3 and well back of first-place Green Bay (6-1) in the NFC North while quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has failed to take a step forward in his development. While head coach Matt Nagy is hearing calls to replace Trubisky and complaints about his run-pass imbalance, the Bears have enough season in front of them to right the ship. Getting there could require a heavier reliance on the ground game and defense, more traditional “Bears football” tacticss that could play well Sunday against a battered Chargers team. Los Angeles had the Tennessee Titans on the ropes in the final seconds of Week 7, but lost in disheartening fashion when Melvin Gordon lost the ball at the goal line. Gordon has been abysmal since returning from his holdout, though some of the performance issues stem from an offensive line thinned by injuries. Left tackle Russell Okung is getting back in the mix just in the nick of time with the Bears capable of crushing quarterback Philip Rivers behind this ragtag blocking bunch. Rivers has found one positive in recent weeks — a great connection with tight end Hunter Henry, who could be difficult for the Bears to cover if they stick with their man secondary approach.

Win: Chicago Bears | $1.50 – Unibet
Line: Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 | $1.91 – Beteasy
Total Points: Over 41.5 | $1.92 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games at home
  • Chargers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Chargers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road

Key Injuries:

  • LAC – LB Thomas Davis Sr. (Hamstring), CB Casey Hayward Jr. (Ankle) and LB Denzel Perryman (Ankle) are listed as day-to-day; G Forrest Lamp (Shin) is out for the season.
  • CHI – DB Sherrick McManis (Concussion) is listed as day-to-day.

FALCONS VS SEAHAWKS

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The Atlanta Falcons have won just one game this season, star quarterback Matt Ryan is hobbled with an ankle injury and veteran wide receiver Mohamed Sanu was peddled to the Patriots. On paper this looks like an easy win for MVP candidate Russell Wilson and the visiting Seahawks, a club seeking to get right after a humbling 30-16 home loss to Baltimore last week. But that’s not the case. Falcons head coach Dan Quinn could not be much more intense. And while the Seattle Seahawks have slowed most receivers, Julio Jones remains one of the league’s elite and Calvin Ridley will be looking to prove his worth against a young Seattle secondary that may need new addition Quandre Diggs (acquired via trade from Detroit on Tuesday) to start immediately because of injuries at safety. Seattle has proven vulnerable this year to tight ends and running backs out of the backfield, setting up an interesting matchup with Atlanta’s Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman. They could be even more critical to Atlanta’s game plan if Matt Schaub is throwing the passes rather than Ryan, who did not practice Wednesday. Seattle would prefer to run the ball but the Falcons have proven surprisingly stout, allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. The Falcons’ secondary, on the other hand, has been torched, surrendering an NFL-worst 17 touchdown passes with just two interceptions.

Win: Seattle Seahawks | $1.51 – Pointsbet
Line: Atlanta Falcons +5.5 | $1.93 – Sportsbet
Total Points: Over 53.5 | $1.91 – Sportsbet

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
  • Seahawks are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games
  • Seahawks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Falcons

Key Injuries:

  • SEA – no new injuries currently listed.
  • ATL – QB Matt Ryan (Ankle) and RB Ito Smith (Concussion) are both listed day-to-day.

LIONS VS GIANTS

Venue: Ford Field | Start: 4:00am AEDT

Barring a tie, either the visiting New York Giants or Detroit Lions will drop a fourth straight game on Sunday After a pair of hard-luck losses to the Chiefs and Packers, the Lions fell 42-30 in Minnesota last week despite 364 passing yards and four touchdowns — all to wideout Marvin Jones — from quarterback Matthew Stafford. In his 11th season, Stafford is on pace for his best campaign, currently sporting what would be personal bests in yards per attempt (8.0), passer rating (101.7) and interception rate (1.4) over a full season. Things have not gone as swimmingly for Giants rookie quarterback Daniel Jones, who was swamped for eight sacks, an interception and three fumbles (two lost) in a rainy 27-21 loss at home to the Arizona Cardinals last week. Jones has a total of four touchdowns and seven interceptions since accounting for four scores (two rushing, two passing) in his first career start in Week 3. The Lions don’t bring much of a pass rush (10 sacks, T-27th in NFL), and they allowed 338 passing yards and four scores to Kirk Cousins without sacking him a week ago. Detroit has won two of the last three meetings with New York, including a 24-10 result on the road in 2017, since losing three in a row in the series.

Win: Detroit Lions | $1.34 – Beteasy
Line: New York Giants +6.5 | $1.91 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 49.5 | $1.90 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Lions are 1-5 SU in their last 5 games at home
  • Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Giants are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games

Key Injuries:

  • NYG – LB Lorenzo Carter (Ankle) and TE Evan Engram (Eye) are listed as day-to-day.
  • DET – LB Jared Davis (Ankle), DT Damon Harrison Sr. (Thigh) and CB Darius Slay (Hamstring) are all listed as day-to-day; RB Kerryon Johnson (Knee) is out indefinitely.

TEXANS VS RAIDERS

Venue: NRG Stadium | Start: 7:25am AEDT

Fresh off of tough losses at Green Bay and Indianapolis, respectively, the Raiders and Texans clash in a rare late afternoon tilt in Houston with playoff hopes already lying in the balance. Both clubs currently rank second in their divisions and can ill-afford a losing streak. With Halloween on the horizon, quarterbacks Derek Carr and Deshaun Watson should find plenty of treats against opposing secondaries which surrendered a combined nine touchdown passes (with no interceptions) in last week’s losses. Oakland rookie Josh Jacobs has lived up to his first-round selection. His 554 rushing yards are more than double that of any other rookie and rank eighth in the NFL. The Texans remain formidable against the run – currently tied with Baltimore for 3rd in the NFL in allowing just 84.3 yards per game. Key blockers Trent Brown (calf), Rodney Hudson (ankle) and Gabe Jackson (knee) are all nursing injuries. The good news for the Raiders is that starting wideout Tyrell Williams is trending in the right direction, seeing some practice time after missing the past two weeks with an injured foot. With veteran speedster Kenny Stills well-suited to replace the big-play ability of Will Fuller (hamstring), the Texans appear poised to roast the Raiders and their 29th ranked defense, one surrendering 27.5 points per game.

Win: Houston Texans | $1.36 – Unibet
Line: Oakland Raiders +6.5 | $1.95 – Beteasy
Total Points: Over 51.5 | $1.87 – Sportsbet

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Texans are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games at home
  • Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland’s last 7 games on the road

Key Injuries:

  • OAK – RB Josh Jacobs (Shoulder) is listed as day-to-day.
  • HOU – WR Will Fuller V (Hamstring) is out indefinitely; S Tashaun Gipson Sr. (Back), T Roderick Johnson (Stinger), CB Jonathan Joseph (Shoulder), LS John Weeks (Leg), CB Kelon Crossen (Undisclosed) and CB Phillip Gaines (Ankle) are listed as day-to-day.

JAGUARS VS JETS

Venue: TIAA Bank Field | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The New York Jets appeared to be back on track after a 24-22 upset of the Cowboys in Sam Darnold’s Week 6 return from mononucleosis. Instead, they were embarrassed on national television Monday, losing 33-0 at home to the Patriots and falling to 1-5 ahead of Sunday’s visit to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Darnold’s bizarre season continued, as he was shown on Monday’s ESPN broadcast saying he was “seeing ghosts,” and he had a toenail removed on Tuesday after his foot was stepped on during the game. The Jaguars are in better shape at 3-4, coming off a 27-17 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in which Leonard Fournette logged his third 100-yard game of the year. Fournette (715) trails only Minnesota’s Dalvin Cook (725) for the NFL rushing lead and leads the league in carries (144), after tallying just 439 yards on 133 carries last year. Another standout is second-year wideout DJ Chark, who ranks fourth in the league with 581 receiving yards and is tied for second with five TD receptions. The Jaguars cruised by the Jets 31-12 last season, but New York won the previous four meetings, including three in Jacksonville. The Jags last beat the Jets at home in November of 2009.

Win: Jacksonville Jaguars | $1.38 – Beteasy
Line: New York Jets +6.5 | $1.90 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 41.5 | $1.85 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets’ last 6 games
  • Jags are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home
  • Jags are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home

Key Injuries:

  • NYJ – C Ryan Kalil (Elbow) is listed as day-to-day.
  • JAX – LB D.J. Alexander (Foot), DT Marcell Dareus (Abdominal), LB Najee Goode (Foot), OL Cam Robinson (Toe) and LB Quincey Williams (Hamstring) are all listed as day-to-day.

SAINTS VS CARDINALS

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome | Start: 4:00am AEDT

All eyes are on the quarterback in New Orleans with Drew Brees proclaiming that his plan is to return this week to face No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray and the visiting Arizona Cardinals. While the Saints are certainly eager to see Brees return following surgery on his right thumb, Teddy Bridgewater has starred in his absence, marching the Saints to five consecutive wins by completing a career-high 67.7 percent of his passes for with nine touchdowns and just two interceptions. His performance is all the more impressive given that New Orleans was without star Alvin Kamara (ankle, knee) and tight end Jared Cook (ankle) last week in an 36-25 win in Chicago. Neither Kamara nor Cook practiced Wednesday. The Saints have their bye in Week Nine. Winners of three in a row (albeit versus the Bengals, Falcons and Giants), Murray and the Cardinals are beginning to show signs of mastering Kliff Kingsbury’s up-tempo offense. While the passing attack is certainly the focal point, it has been the rushing attack which has really caught fire, in part due to a three-touchdown explosion from backup Chase Edmonds last week. Arizona is averaging 127.4 yards per game (11th in the NFL) and is playing better defensively now that All-Pro cornerback Patrick Peterson is back from suspension.

Win: New Orleans Saints | $1.21 – Unibet
Line: Arizona Cardinals +9.5 | $1.95 – Sportsbet
Total Points: Over 48.5 | $1.91 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Cardinals
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Cardinals are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against the Saints on the road

Key Injuries:

  • ARI – RB David Johnson (Back) is listed as day-to-day.
  • NO – CB Eli Apple (Knee) and CB Patrick Robinson (Hamstring), RB Alvin Kamara (Ankle) and TE Jared Cook (Ankle) are all listed as day-to-day.

RAMS VS BENGALS

Venue: Wembley Stadium | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The Rams set off for London after dismantling the Atlanta Falcons and battering quarterback Matt Ryan into virtual submission in Week 7. The Cincinnati Bengals continue to fight through a rough season without Pro Bowl wide receiver A.J. Green, but they’re getting healthy in the secondary. Cornerback Darqueze Dennard was activated from the physically unable to perform list and he’s needed urgently against the Rams. Cooper Kupp leads the NFL in yards after the catch and Los Angeles boasts an impressive array of weapons even the most talented defenses fail to contain. While playing keep away would be in the team’s best interest, the Bengals are struggling to move the ball even a yard at a time on the ground. More than 30 percent of the team’s rushing attempts have gained less than a yard. That’s the kind of output that makes for a rough trip over the pond for Cincinnati.

Win: Los Angeles Rams | $1.15 – Unibet
Line: Cincinnati Bengals +13.5 | $1.95 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 48.5 | $1.93 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • LA Rams are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams’ last 6 games
  • Bengals are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games against the Rams

Key Injuries:

  • CIN – no new injuries currently listed.
  • LAR –LB Bryce Hager (Shoulder) is listed as day-to-day.

49ERS VS PANTHERS

Venue: Levi’s Stadium | Start: 7:05am AEDT

In an era of offensive shootouts led by gunslinging quarterbacks, the San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers are doing it differently, committing to highly effective – but very different – rushing attacks and playmaking defenses in their respective drives towards the postseason. As his club’s leading rusher, receiver and scorer Christian McCaffrey has emerged as a legitimate MVP candidate for the Panthers, a club which has not lost since former undrafted free agent Kyle Allen took over for injured former No. 1 overall pick Cam Newton at quarterback. Carolina head coach Ron Rivera announced that Allen will be the starter Sunday despite Newton returning to practice this week, albeit in limited fashion. While Carolina has relied on McCaffrey, the 49ers’ multi-faceted rushing attack features five different runners with at least 23 attempts this season, averaging 39 rushing attempts per game. Their defense – currently ranked second in the NFL – is ferocious. The 49ers have racked up 131 total first downs in their first undefeated 6-0 start since 1990, while allowing just 75 by comparison. Keeping up this production against a proud Panthers defense led by five-time All Pro middle linebacker Luke Kuechly will be difficult, especially with stellar blockers Mike McGlinchey (knee) and Kyle Juszczyk (knee) out and Joe Staley still limited (fractured fibula). San Francisco will likely be looking to diversify their offense following the trade for playmaking wideout Emmanuel Sanders.

Win: San Francisco 49ers | $1.40 – Bet365
Line: San Francisco 49ers -5.5 | $1.89 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 42.5 | $1.88 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Niners are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games

Key Injuries:

  • CAR – LB Brian Burns (Wrist) is listed as probable for week 8.
  • SF – RB Matt Breida (Eye) and WR Marquise Goodwin (Concussion) are both listed as day-to-day.

PATRIOTS VS BROWNS

Venue: Gillette Stadium | Start: 7:25am AEDT

While the Cleveland Browns’ bandwagon thins, the New England Patriots continue to beat opponents like a drum with a defense that refuses to allow big plays. The Smothers Brothers secondary headlined by cornerback Stephon Gilmore and Devin McCourty mandates quarterbacks play it patient and take underneath throws to inch their way downfield. Patience and discipline haven’t been assets exhibited by gunslinger Baker Mayfield as the Browns struggle to find their footing this season. A big plus, however, has been the increased usage and matching production of Nick Chubb at running back. The Patriots are sound enough to take Chubb’s splash plays away but if Cleveland stays with the inside running game, the Browns should see things open up in the second half. It’s up to Myles Garrett and the Cleveland defensive line as to whether the fourth quarter will matter. Quarterback Tom Brady lacks elite weapons but he’s pinpoint in finding soft spots in zone defenses. There’s a lot of pressure for Garrett and Olivier Vernon to help the Browns hem in Brady with a four-man rush. If that doesn’t happen, Chubb’s old teammates, Sony Michel, is in for another big day and Brady will be holding his own helmet on the sideline by the fourth quarter.

Win: New England Patriots | $1.17 – Ladbrokes
Line: Cleveland Browns +12.5 | $1.93 – Beteasy
Total Points: Under 45.5 | $1.91 – Ladbrokes

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Patriots are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games
  • Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games
  • Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • Browns are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games

Key Injuries:

  • CLE – S Damarious Randall (Leg), WR Jarvis Landry (Ankle) and DT Daniel Ekuale (Concussion) are listed as questionable for week 8. QB Baker Mayfield (Hip) listed as probable for week 8.
  • NE – No new injuries currently listed.

COLTS VS BRONCOS

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium | Start: 4:00am AEDT

The Indianapolis Colts are exactly where many projected them to be before the preseason — leading the AFC South — despite the sudden retirement of Pro Bowl quarterback Andrew Luck. Jacoby Brissett is up to 14 touchdown passes on the season, one back of the NFL lead, after tossing four in Sunday’s victory over the Houston Texans. Brissett, who garnered AFC Offensive Player of the Week recognition, has just three interceptions on the year and has taken only seven sacks in six games, thanks to a standout offensive line. Despite their 4-2 record, the Colts have a point differential of just plus-5, as all six of their games have been decided by seven or fewer points. The Broncos, meanwhile, had a point differential of 0 despite a 2-4 start… until they were embarrassed 30-6 last Thursday at home against the Chiefs, who were without Patrick Mahomes for two-plus quarters. Denver opted for a build-for-the-future move on Tuesday, shipping wideout Emmanuel Sanders to the 49ers for a third-round pick and a swap of fourth and fifth-rounders, and it’s possible other deals could follow. The Broncos beat Brissett and the Colts 25-13 in Indianapolis in 2017, but the Colts have won seven of the last 10 in the head-to-head series.

Win: Indianapolis Colts | $1.41 – Bet365
Line: Denver Broncos | $1.91 – Ladbrokes
Total Points: Over 43.5 | $1.95 – Beteasy

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Colts are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against Broncos
  • Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Denver’s last 16 games

Key Injuries:

  • DEN – LB Justin Hollins (Knee) and S Will Parks (Hand) are both listed as day-to-day.
  • IND – NT Carl Davis (Hamstring) is listed as day-to-day.

CHIEFS VS PACKERS

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium | Start: 11:20am AEDT

The dynamite matchup of Aaron Rodgers vs. Patrick Mahomes appears unlikely as the Green Bay Packers visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday night. Coach Andy Reid has yet to rule Mahomes out, who surprisingly returned to a limited practice just six days after dislocating his knee in Denver last week, but backup Matt Moore is expected to start for the Chiefs. Kansas City will be looking to avoid its first three-game home losing streak within one season since 2011 (though the Chiefs lost three in a row spanning the 2013 and ’14 seasons). Despite Mahomes’ injury, the Chiefs avoided a third straight loss in Week 7 by obliterating the Broncos 30-6, racking up nine sacks and allowing just 205 yards. Kansas City had gone sackless in its previous two games and has allowed at least 425 yards in six games this season. That group will have a much tougher test in Rodgers, who is coming off the best statistical game of his career after throwing for 429 yards and five scores, plus a sixth on the ground, in a win over the Raiders. The Packers (6-1) have won three straight but remain only one game ahead of the Vikings atop the NFC North.

Win: Green Bay Packers | $1.55 – Unibet
Line: Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 | $1.90 – Sportsbet
Total Points: Over 47.5 | $1.90 – Ladbrokes

NFL Betting Trends:

  • Chiefs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against Packers
  • Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home
  • Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games

Key Injuries:

  • GB – DL Kenny Clark (Shin) is listed as day-to-day.
  • KC – QB Patrick Mahomes (Knee) out until late November; T Martinas Rankin (Leg) is listed as day-to-day.