Premier League Betting Preview

Don’t look now but we’re already at match week 10 in the Premier League. After a few surprising results last weekend, we’ve got another full slate of fixtures to sink our teeth into. Southampton and Leicester get us underway on Saturday morning, with Liverpool and Tottenham looking like the match of the round. Norwich and Man United will close us out, with the Reds looking to build on a decent result last weekend. We’ll preview all 10 games this week, providing our suggested bets for all of them.

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Saturday, October 26

Southampton vs Leicester

Venue: St Mary’s | Start: 06:00

Southampton: The Saints have definitely struggled so far, sitting in 17th place with just 8 points so far. They did deliver a better performance last week, managing a 1-1 draw away at Wolves. Danny Ings continued his impressive recent run, netting the opener again last weekend. Their home form is actually worst in the league, managing just 1 point from their 4 games so far.

Leicester City: It has been a dream start for Leicester this season, moving up to 3rd place with 17 points thus far. They had an impressive comeback last weekend, beating Burnley 2-1 at home. Jamie Vardy netted the opener, while Youri Tiemelmans was on hand to score the winner. Leicester haven’t been as good on the road this season, managing 4 points from 4 games so far.

Analysis: Most fans and pundits would expect Leicester to stroll in and take this one with relative ease. That said, the Friday night game tends to throw up some weird results and I can see that being the case here. I think Southampton are a better side than their results would indicate and that they’re decent value for a draw. 1-1 looks like the most likely result, with Southampton +1 also providing some handicap value.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Southampton/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man City vs Aston Villa

Venue: Etihad Stadium | Start: 22:30

Man City: Despite some inconsistencies, City sit well in 2nd place with 19 points so far. They had an impressive away win last weekend, taking care of Crystal Palace 2-0. Gabriel Jesus netted an impressive opener, with David Silva scoring 2 minutes later to effectively put the game to bed. Although they’ve picked up 7 points from 4 home games, the Etihad hasn’t been the same fortress so far this season.

Aston Villa: A decent run of results has seen Villa climb to 11th place with 11 points on the season. They had an epic win over Brighton this past weekend, netting in the 94th minute to bring it home. Jack Grealish added another goal to his tally from midfield, while Matt Targett netted the winner. Villa have largely struggled on the road this season, a win over Norwich their lone points this season.

Analysis: Despite a mid-week Champions League tie to contend with, I still very much like City to pick up all 3 points here. They still look very good going forward and should cause a ton of problems for a leaky Villa defence. I can see goals galore here, with 4-1 City being my final score prediction. As associated bets, I also like over 3.5 goals and City -2.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Man City/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sunday, October 27

Watford vs Bournemouth

Venue: Vicarage Road | Start: 01:00

Watford: Watford find themselves rock bottom of the Premier League, having managed just 4 points so far. They had an improved showing at Spurs last week, settling for a 1-1 draw despite leading most of the way. Their defence has looked much improved of late, conceding just once in the last two games. They’ve been somewhat better at home this season, managing 2 points from 4 games so far.

Bournemouth: Another middling season for Bournemouth sees them in 9th place with 12 points so far. They had somewhat of a missed opportunity last weekend, being held to a 0-0 home draw against Norwich. This was at least a better defensive display, having conceded 13 goals through their first 8. They have been impressive early on the road this season, managing 2 away wins in their first 4.

Analysis: I think the 8-0 drubbing against City makes Watford’s numbers look worse than they actually are. They’ve had some very bad luck this season and need just a touch of good fortune to turn things around. I think they get that here, pulling off a somewhat surprising 2-1 win. Both sides have some good weapons up front to match a somewhat leaky defence, meaning that BTTS and over 2.5 are both also in play.

Head to Head: Watford
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Watford
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Brighton vs Everton

Venue: Amex Stadium | Start: 01:00

Brighton: A mixed start to the campaign has Brighton in 16th place with 9 points so far. They had an unfortunate result last weekend, falling 2-1 to a last minute Villa winner. Aussie Aaron Mooy certainly didn’t help matters, getting himself stupidly sent off in the first half. They’ve been good but not great at home this season, managing a respectable 5 points from 4 games.

Everton: There have been definite calls for Marco Silva’s job this season, with Everton sitting just 14th so far. They had a hugely morale boosting win last time out, beating West Ham 2-0 in the early kick-off at home. Bernard netted the opener in the 17th minute, while an injury time classic from Sigurdsson sealed the deal. Their road form has been abysmal so far, picking up just 1 point from 4 games.

Analysis: Neither of these sides has been all that impressive so far, although I’d expect both to avoid relegation rather comfortably. Everton are the better of these two sides, but they’ve been dreadful on the road of late. I’m expecting a relatively tight affair here and will go with the trademark 1-1 draw. I don’t see a high scoring game here, but can see BTTS with either 2 or 3 final goals scored.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

West Ham vs Sheffield United

Venue: London Stadium | Start: 01:00

West Ham: A rather average start to the season has the Hammers in 10th place so far. They were rather disappointing last time out, failing to deliver in a 2-0 defeat to Everton. This marks just 1 point from 3 games after their relatively impressive win over Man United earlier this season. It’s been a mixed bag at the London Stadium this season, with 2 wins and 2 defeats so far.

Sheffield United: The newly promoted Blades are in the midst of a fairly solid campaign, currently sitting in 9th place with 12 points. They had an impressive win last time out, 1-0 over Arsenal in prime time. Lys Mousset is starting to look like a very strong signing, netting the only goal last week. They’re actually undefeated on the road this season, picking up a win and 3 draws in 4 games.

Analysis: After such a huge win last time out, I think Sheffield United are primed for an emotional letdown here. West Ham are the more talented of these two sides and I expect them to test their defence. I see a relatively comfortable home win for the Hammers here, with 2-0 looking like a likely scoreline. As additional bets, I’m a fan of West Ham -1 and West Ham to win to nil.

Head to Head: West Ham
Half-time/Full-time: West Ham/West Ham
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Burnley vs Chelsea

Venue: Turf Moor | Start: 03:30

Burnley: A decent start to the campaign has Burnley in 8th place with 12 points after their first 9. They were outplayed statistically last weekend, although still seemed unlucky not to take a point. Sean Dyche was rightfully fuming after VAR bought back a goal that would’ve made it 2-2. Turf Moor is still definitely a fortress, with the Clarets winning 3 of their first 4 there.

Chelsea: A decent run of results has seen Chelsea move into the top 4, now sporting 17 points through 9 games. The train kept rolling last weekend, ultimately resulting in a narrow 1-0 win over Newcastle. The controversial Marcos Alonso nabbed the winner, delivering a wonder strike in the 73rd minute. Chelsea have been a fairly good road side so far, winning 3 of their first 4 away trips this season.

Analysis: While many would assume Chelsea cruise to victory here, I think this will be a very tough fixture. Not only is Turf Moor a relative fortress, they’ve also got a difficult midweek trip to Ajax. I think Burnley’s solid defence can contain Chelsea here, while they try and expose vulnerabilities on the counter. This game likely ends up as a draw, with 1-1 again looming as a likely scoreline. In terms of side bets, I definitely like Burnley at the +1 handicap.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Burnley/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Monday, October 28

Newcastle vs Wolves

Venue: St James’ Park | Start: 01:00

Newcastle: Most expected a tough season for Newcastle under Steve Bruce and that’s exactly what they’ve gotten. They sit in 18th place with 8 points so far, admittedly just 2 goals out of the drop zone. They had another valiant display against a big six side last week, ultimately falling 1-0 away at Chelsea. Their home record is respectable, managing 5 points from 4 tilts this season.

Wolves: Wolves have been a bit hit and miss this season, although they currently occupy 12th position. They were somewhat disappointing last weekend, getting held to a 1-1 draw with Southampton. Raul Jimenez has looked like a bright spot up front, netting their lone goal last weekend. Their style now seems better equipped for the road, where they’ve managed 5 points from 4 games so far.

Analysis: In most ordinary weeks, I’d pick Wolves here and feel pretty confident. However, the Europa League has really hampered their domestic form and they’ve got a trip to Slovenia on deck this weekend. I think this really impacts the result of this one and that Newcastle can definitely pick up points. Two bets I like in this one are under 2.5 goals and Newcastle +1.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

Venue: Emirates Stadium | Start: 03:30

Arsenal: A mixed start to the campaign has Arsenal in 5th spot with 15 points so far. They had a disappointing result last time out, falling 1-0 away at Sheffield United. Expected points really isn’t a fan of this side, suggesting they’re lucky to have this many points. They’re still a very solid home side, picking up 10 points from 4 home fixtures thus far.

Crystal Palace: A respectable start to the campaign has Palace in 6th place with 14 points so far. They do boast a negative goal difference however and were relatively comfortably beaten at home by City. They’ve done very well against the sides they should be competitive against, but could start to struggle during this difficult run. Their away form has been decent so far, picking up 2 wins and 2 defeats from their 4 games.

Analysis: Although Palace are an effective road side, it’s tough to look past an Arsenal win here. I think they’ll be hugely motivated after last week’s result, especially given their consistent home record. I see a competitive fixture that Arsenal narrowly win, with 2-1 being my projected scoreline. As supplementary bets, I like Arsenal to win by 1 and over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Liverpool vs Tottenham

Venue: Anfield | Start: 03:30

Liverpool: A strong start to the campaign has Liverpool in 1st place with 25 points so far. They dropped their first points last weekend, ultimately doing just enough to rescue a point at Old Trafford. The oft-injured Adam Lallana was an unlikely scorer, nabbing the equaliser during the last 10 minutes. Their home form has been flawless so far, yet to drop a point at Anfield through 4 games.

Tottenham: Spurs have been mired in a dreadful run of form, falling to 7th place after some poor recent results. At home to Watford last week offered a chance to get right, yet all they could manage was a 1-1 draw. They actually trailed for most of the game too, with a controversial equalizer from Alli coming in the last 10 minutes. Spurs are yet to win on the road this season, managing just 2 points from their 4 outings so far.

Analysis: Spurs are looking like an utter shambles at the moment and a trip to Anfield isn’t necessarily the best way to get out of that. Liverpool will no doubt be angry after a relatively poor display last weekend and looking to right that wrong at the first opportunity. I think their front three will prove too much for Spurs here as they cruise to a relatively comfortable 2-0 win. The Liverpool -1 handicap looks appealing, as does Liverpool to win to nil.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Norwich vs Man United

Venue: Carrow Road | Start: 03:30

Norwich: It has been a trying start to the season for Daniel Farke and the Canaries, who sit 19th with just 7 points. They had an impressive result last weekend, grinding out a 0-0 draw away at Bournemouth. Injuries have taken a toll on this side all season and they finally appear to be getting somewhat healthy. They’re a much better home side than they are on the road, picking up 6 points from 4 games so far.

Man United: A poor start to the campaign has United in 13th place with just 10 points so far. They had one of their best results of the season last week, taking 2 points from Liverpool. Marcus Rashford has been in a decent run of form, netting the opener again last weekend. Their road form definitely needs some improvement, having managed only 2 points from their 4 games thus far.

Analysis: After getting a decent result last weekend, everyone will begin to think Man United are back. I actually think that Norwich’s injuries have undervalued them this season and that they’re a real shot to get a result here. A primetime Teemu Pukki goal looks on the cards as Norwich do just enough to get a draw. I like the 1-1 scoreline here, with Norwich +1 and BTTS as decent supplements.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Man United/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes