Wales finished 1st in their group and South Africa 2nd in theirs. Wales are coming of a fast-finishing, 20-19 result against France. And South Africa beat the hosts 26 points to three in their latest match. Both sides will be raring and ready to go for this one.
A red card and a 74th minute try were by far the two most crucial and critical moments in the Welsh’s one point win over the French. And being outscored two tries to three, they proved to be very, very clutch when it came to their kicking game. Another factor that contributed strongly to their victory. As for South Africa, nobody could stop them as they steamrolled Japan by 23 points and made them look like school boys. With South Africa being the favorites, but the Welsh’s recent dominant history over them, it makes for one hell of an interesting clash! So bring it on!
Sunday, October 27, 2019
Wales vs South Africa
Venue: International Stadium Yokohoma | Start: 8:00PM (AEST)
Wales topped their group which had the Wallabies in it. And the Springboks finished second in theirs, behind only the All blacks. Wales are coming into this of the back of a late, late win over France. And the Springboks do so after they ended Japan’s fairy tale run with a 23 point victory.
Wales last beat France 20-19 in an absolute thrilling affair. Vahaamahina received a red card in the 48th minute of the match. And that decision changed the entire outcome of their clash. Moriarty would go onto score the late, match-winning try in the 74th minute of the game. One which would seal the tight and tense win. Wales played well to use the one man down to their advantage. They held just 40% of the ball in the 1st half. But in the 2nd it grew largely to 58%. Overall, they owned 48% of the ball. They got outscored two tries to three, but they made their kicks count. They ran for 333m’s and had 103 carries. They also beat 17 defenders, but they had just the six clean breaks. They won six turnovers and seven mauls. But only 75 rucks to 90. In most areas of this match, the Welsh were strong. However, they are a few in which they need to tidy up before they meet the Springboks.
South Africa’s 26-3 win over Japan was one that was expected. They crushed the hosts dream shot at a potential final (had they won the next week as well), as they outscored them three tries to zero. In H1, they held just 32% of the ball. But in H2 that skyrocketed all the way up to 61%. Overall, they were at 46% possession of the ball. They made 295m’s and beat 15 defenders. They also had 10 clean breaks. They won 10 turnovers as well as 10 mauls. They lost just one scrum and conceded only eight penalties. Wales are good, but South Africa are great. They are the starting favorites for this one and deservedly so. They’ll badly want their shot at the All Blacks in the final (assuming they win, as they should). They’ll just be to strong in this one for the Welsh to counter them in any meaningful way, shape or form.
Those are the score’s of their past four matches against South Africa. Most have been close, but all of them have been win’s to the underdogs. This will give them a great chance of optimism headed into this one, that they may infact actually be able to knock over the Springboks. In the most recent clash, South Africa were kept to just a solitary try. And in the 1st half, they held just 42% of the ball. They were also allowed only seven clean breaks among other stats. More of this defensive orientated game plan from Wales and they may, just may have a shot in this one.
Head to Head: South Africa $1.38 – Ladbrokes
Win Margin: South Africa 1-12 $2.82 – Sportsbet
Handicap: South Africa -8 $2.00 – Bet365
Total Points: South Africa to reach a total of 10 points first $1.45- Beteasy