UEFA Champions League Betting Preview

Thursday, November 7

Lokomotiv Moskow vs Juventus

Venue: | Start: 04:55

Lokomotiv: Lokomotiv sit in 3rd place in a relatively tough group with 3 points thus far. Their lone win came against Bayer Leverkusen, which was followed by predictable losses to Atletico and Juventus. They were competitive away at Juventus last time out, falling 2-1 in a relatively close clash. They’ve been good but not great domestically, sitting 3rd in the Russian league with 30 points through 15 games.

Juventus: Juve currently sit atop this group, managing 7 points through their first 3 games. After rescuing a point against Atleti, they followed this up with consecutive professional wins over Leverkusen and Lokomotiv. They sit just ahead of Atleti on goals scored, scoring 7 to the 5 of Simeone’s men. Their league form has been predictably good, sitting atop Serie A with 29 points through their first 11.

Analysis: Juve know the importance of coming in 1st in the group and I don’t see them letting up here. Moscow is definitely a tough place to play, but this veteran team has done it all before. I expect a tense and low-scoring affair here, with 2-0 Juve sticking out as a likely scoreline. I like the look of under 2.5 goals here, combined nicely with Juve to win to nil.

Head to Head: Juventus
Half-time/Full-time: Juventus/Juventus
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

PSG vs Club Brugge

Venue: Park des Princes | Start: 07:00

PSG: PSG have had a very impressive UCL campaign, sitting atop group A with a perfect 9 points. They’ve been outstanding all tournament, scoring 9 and conceding 0 for a +9 goal difference. They were particularly good against Club Brugge last time out, managing a 5-0 win on the road. Despite 3 losses so far, they still sit 7 points ahead in Ligue 1, managing 27 points from 12 games.

Club Brugge: The Belgian side haven’t been great thus far, earning 2 draws to start with. They were rather good on match day 2, managing a draw away at Real Madrid despite playing with 10 men. This hard work was undone at home last time out, a brutal 5-0 loss to PSG that exposed their defensive frailties. They still find themselves atop the Belgian league, undefeated with 33 points through 12 games.

Analysis: PSG have made it a point to dominate UCL games this year and I don’t see them taking their foot off the pedal here. Weirdly, I think a 5-0 road win makes this team even more likely to go for the throat at home. A 3 goal win seems fairly likely to me here, with 3-0 and 4-1 sticking out as solid options. Over 2.5 goals is a solid bet here, as is PSG at any handicap lower than 3.

Head to Head: PSG
Half-time/Full-time: PSG/PSG
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Atalanta vs Man City

Venue: San Siro | Start: 07:00

Atalanta: Atalanta have had a disastrous start to Champions League football, sitting in last place with 0 points so far. They’ve conceded 11 goals and scored just 2 for an atrocious -9 goal difference. They were very poor at the Etihad last time out, losing 5-1 to a 10-man City side. Their domestic form has also dipped slightly, now sitting in 5th with 21 points from 11 games.

Man City: Man City are a perfect 3-from-3 in Champions League games thus far, a comfortable 5 points ahead of Dinamo in second. Like PSG, they’ve got an excellent +9 goal difference, scoring 10 and conceding just 1. That 1 came on the corresponding fixture, where they won 5-1 after a Raheem Sterling hattrick. Their league form has also been solid of late, sitting in 2nd place with 25 points from 11 games.

Analysis: Although they’ve got a grudge match with Liverpool this weekend, I still expect a strong side from City here. Atalanta have looked awful thus far and I think City put the final nail in their coffin in this one. It won’t be as dominant as last time, but City to win by exactly 2 goals seems probable to me. 2-0 and 3-1 are the most likely scorelines, meaning City are good value at a -1 handicap.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Man City/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score
:
Yes

Bayern Munich vs Olympiacos

Venue: | Start: 07:00

Bayern: Bayern are comfortably atop Group B, winning all 3 games to sit 5 points ahead of Spurs. They’ve scored a very impressive 13 goals thus far, conceding just 4 for another +9 goal difference. The reverse fixture was definitely an entertaining one, with Bayern managing a 3-2 road win in a tense affair. Their domestic form has been abnormally poor, sitting 4th in the Bundesliga with 18 points through 10 games.

Olympiacos: Olympiacos currently occupy last place in the group, managing just 1 point from the first 3 games. They got a solid point from game 1 with Spurs, which was succeeded by consecutive losses. Their loss to Bayern last time out would really sting, narrowly falling 3-2. They’ve still been great domestically, sitting atop the Greek league with 23 points and no defeats through 9 contests.

Analysis: Despite a sub-par domestic campaign, Bayern are looking like an early UCL frontrunner. They were outstanding at Spurs in a dominant 7-2 win and their attack has looked phenomenal thus far. I expect more of the same in this one, with 3-0 and 4-1 standing out as likely scorelines. Bayern -2 goals looks strong at the handicap, as does over 2.5 goals on the total side.

Head to Head: Bayern Munich
Half-time/Full-time: Bayern/Bayern
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No