Wednesday, November 6
Barcelona vs Slavia Praha
Venue: Camp Nou | Start: 04:55
Barcelona: Barcelona enter this clash in a very good position, comfortably 1st in the relatively difficult Group F. They’re undefeated in the group stage thus far, picking up 7 points and sitting 3 points ahead. This is their second consecutive match against Slavia, who they beat 2-1 away last time out. Their league form has also been quite impressive, sitting 1st in La Liga, just ahead of Real Madrid on goal difference.
Slavia Praha: It was always going to be a tough group for Slavia, who sit in last place with 1 point so far. They fought valiantly at home to Barcelona last time out, ultimately falling 2-1 in a close one. They’ve shown a relatively compact defence so far, but 2 goals in 3 games just won’t cut it in this group. Their domestic form shows just how good they can be, sitting atop their league with 41 points and 0 defeats through 15 games.
Analysis: While Slavia are a credible opponent, this is the type of game that a professional outfit like Barcelona wins 90% of the time. They’ve done a lot of hard work to get into 1st place and here’s where they drive home that advantage. 2-0 Barcelona looks like a relatively likely outcome here, with Barcelona winning to nil a solid additional bet. On the totals side, I can see some value in under 2.5 goals and ‘no’ in the BTTS market.
Head to Head: Barcelona
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No
Borussia Dortmund vs Inter Milan
Venue: Signal Iduna Park | Start: 07:00
Dortmund: Dortmund find themselves tied for 2nd in group F, sitting on 4 points through 3 games. They’ve had one of every result thus far, losing 2-0 in Milan in the corresponding fixture. Goals have been surprisingly hard to come by, scoring only 2 through their first 3 games. Their domestic form has also been very strong, sitting in second place with 19 points through their first 10 games.
Inter Milan: Inter are the other team tied for 2nd in group F, also sitting on 4 points through 3 games. They do have the tie-breaker on Dortmund after an impressive 2-0 win last time out. They’ll still be kicking themselves for their result in game 1, where they drew with 4th place Slavia. They’ve also looked like a real threat domestically, sitting 2nd in Serie A so far, 1 point behind Juventus with 28.
Analysis: Just as their first clash was, this is a very tough match to call. I think Dortmund has a slight motivation edge after their previous loss, knowing a win puts them in a great spot to qualify. 2-1 Dortmund in an exciting affair seems relatively probable to me, as does Dortmund winning by exactly 1 goal. From a totals perspective, over 2.5 goals and BTTS both look like solid supplementary bets.
Head to Head: Dortmund
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes
Chelsea vs Ajax
Venue: Stamford Bridge | Start: 07:00
Chelsea: After an opening day loss, consecutive impressive wins see Chelsea atop group H with 6 points. They got the job done against this same Ajax side last time out, netting a tense 1-0 win. They’re getting the job done without being hugely convincing, all of their games coming down to a single goal. Their domestic form has also been quite impressive, sitting firmly in the top 4 with 23 points through 11 games.
Ajax: Ajax are also in a relatively solid position, sitting in 2nd place with 6 points of their own. They started the campaign with 2 comfortable 3-0 wins, before a loss to Chelsea that could’ve gone either way. They’ve scored 6 goals and conceded just 1 thus far, sitting in 2nd due to the curious Champions League scoring methods. Their domestic form hasn’t skipped a beat, sitting in 1st with 32 points through their first 12 games.
Analysis: Chelsea have been in great form of late, but this Ajax team certainly isn’t one to take lightly. I see another tense and competitive affair here, resulting in a draw that keeps Chelsea in 1st. 1-1 seems like a fairly likely scoreline here, especially considering both sides have looked solid defensively. On the total side, I like the potential middle opportunity of under 2.5 goals and BTTS.
Head to Head: Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score