A-League Betting Preview

Central Coast vs Adelaide is the battle of 8th vs 5th on the table. Western United vs Newcastle is one of the best vs one of the worst. Melbourne City vs Brisbane is the same. City are excelling in 1st position, whilst the Roar are struggling to adapt to life under Robbie Fowler. And finally the Big Blue. Sydney are doing great this season, but the Victory not so much. Riley McGree and Adelaide should be to strong for the Mariners in the 1st match. Likewise Western United are flying high, especially so after their come-from-behind win vs the Wanderers and as a result, they should be far to classy for the Jets. In the 3rd match, City will bang the goals past Brisbane easily, this one won’t even be a contest. And in the 4th and final match of the round, pick the Sky Blues to continue their hot start to the season and leave little left of the Victory in what should be a dominating win.

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Saturday, 16 November, 2019

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United

Venue: Bluetongue Stadium | Start: 5:00PM (AEST)

The Mariners conceded goals in the 17th, 59th and 82nd minutes of their match vs City last round. Those were all before their late consolation goal to Jordan Murray in the 89th minute of the match. The Mariners had 48% possession throughout the game, yet they shot just 5/16 on target. They did however, complete a very good 84% of their passes, 440/525. In three of their four matches played so far this campaign, they have found the back of the net just once. And it comes as no surprise that the one game they scored more then one goal, which was when they found the back of the net twice vs Perth, they left their 2-1 victors. Of all the players that started vs City, Oar (eight shot assists this season), De Silva (one goal and one assist this season), Duric (two goals and five shot assists this season) and Silvera (one goal, three shot assists this season) are all capable of creating their own sparkling attack and scoring goals. This is the key to them getting a result from Adelaide, as United are very hard and stoic to break down defensively. The Central Coast more then likely won’t get them at their first crack, but if they can eventually keep on wearing them down through these key attackers, then the goals and the big chances will come.

Riley McGree scored his fourth goal of the new season in the Reds tight and tense 1-0 victory over Brisbane last round. James Troisi provided him with the perfect assist so that he could score the late 84th minute winner, much to the delight of the Adelaide faithful. Adelaide had 52% of the ball throughout the game, yet they shot just 4/17 on target. In addition they had a shot bounce of the woodwork and they completed 80% of their passes, 403/506. The key to Adelaide this game will be the previously mentioned McGree. In his previous stints at the Jets and City, he scored 5 goals in 12 games and 7 in 27 respectively. And now he is strongly replacing the departed Craig Goodwin’s scoring exploits at the Reds. In total this season he has more shots on target than he has of, eight vs six. He is averaging 90mins per game and is quite obviously a very durable player. He has also won 50% of all his duels, 17/34 and 67% of all his take ons, 6/9. If the Mariners bounce back from their woeful shooting performance of last week, as expected, then McGree will be the man heavily relied upon to return it right back on behalf of Adelaide. If nothing else, he will be heavily relied upon offensively-wise in this game.

Head to Head: Adelaide
Half-time/Full-time: Adelaide/ Adelaide
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Western United FC vs Newcastle Jets

Venue: GMHBA Stadium | Start: 7:30PM (AEST)

Western United showed a lot of strength in their come-from-behind 2-1 win over Western Sydney last round. They conceded in just the 5th minute to Mitch Duke, but Durante came back in the 13th minute to make the scores even at 1-all. That was before Appiah-Kubi scored what proved to be the 58th minute winner. This was definitely one of the new clubs better matches to date. They had 51% possession and shot 5/15 on target. They also completed 78% of their passes, 334/428. Western United should win this one against a struggling Newcastle side, but as the Jets showed last week, they’re tougher then expected via their 1-1 draw against Perth. It comes as no coincidence that the only game United have lost this season, is when they conceded the first goal of the match. They have yet to lose when they’ve been the ones to open the scoring. When you combine the fact that Newcastle are heavily reliant upon just one or two players for most of their attack and that they average only one goal per match, opening the scoring against them, would pretty much guarantee Western United the crucial victory. With a rallying home crowd behind them, look for players such as McDonald (one goal this season), Kone (one goal this season) and Diamanti (one goal this season), to press high early on in search of that elusive and potentially game-changing first goal.

Newcastle’s last game was  a 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Sydney FC. Their only goal of the match came via Matt Millar in the 9th minute, when he quickly responded to an earlier 6th minute Milos Ninkovic goal, which had seen his side go down 1-0 early on. The Jets had just 40% of the ball throughout the match and shot only 4/9 on target. They also completed just 78% of their passes. 285/366. There’s no one key to this game for Ernie Merrick’s men given their slim chances of winning this match. But Moss having one hell of a game, would give them a shot, however small that shot actually is. He has yet to keep a clean sheet for the Jets yet this season and it won’t start here. But if he can make enough key saves, he might just keep Newcastle in this thing. He has made a total of nine saves so far this season, at an average of 2.25 saves per match. Appiah, McDonald, Kone, Pain, etc will all make life difficult for the A-League veteran. So he’s going to have to be smart and savvy about the way he goes about things this match. But if anyone can get Newcastle a point or perhaps even three from this game, then Glenn Moss is the man to do so.

Head to Head: Western United
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/ Western United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: No

Sunday, 17 November, 2019

Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City

Venue: Dolphin Stadium | Start: 4:00PM (AEST)

In the 84th minute of their last game, Riley McGree stood tall above the rest and banged in the heart breaker for the opposition. Brisbane lost one-nil. That means Robbie Fowler’s record in charge of the Roar so far is two draws, two losses and a GD of -2. Not good enough! Despite having 48% possession, they shot a horrible 3/18 on target. A massive contributing factor to their lost match. They also completed 77% of their passes, 352/459. Defensively, Brisbane have actually been alright this season. In their season opening draw with Perth, they kept them to just two shots on target. After that they kept the Victory to just one goal. Then after that it was the Wanderers with zero goals, zilch. Then Adelaide had just the one last round, despite taking a total of 17 shots. Coming up against City who are banging in the goals like crazy, they’ll need all the defence they can get to try and hold of the Sky Blue side of Melbourne. This will definitely not be an easy task, but they can do it as evidenced through their results this season. And in their first official game under Fowler, they beat Sydney away from home 2-0 in the FFA Cup. If Brisbane can put it all together, then a result similar to the one they had against the reigning champs should be the result. But if they can’t and the flood gates open, Roar fans your in for one scary ride.

For City, they comprehensively beat the Mariners 3-1 last round and they barely broke a sweat. Good scored in the 17th minute, Luna scored in the 58th minute and Griffiths scored in the 82nd minute. They had 52% possession and shot 9/23 on target. They also completed a spectacular 85% of their passes, 474/556. City’s starting three from last round vs the CCM, has the potential to catch fire during their game vs Brisbane. Wales is just 22 years old and has pace. He also has five shot assists so far. Next up is Luna who has one official A-League goal to his name and he has a total of five shots on target, to three of target. He also has four shot assists and has completed his passes at an 85% accuracy rate. And Noone has one goal as well + one assist + 14 shot assists. The man is on fire. And they are doing all this without star striker Jamie Maclaren as well. If Brisbane lets them, they will terrorize them this game and that’ll be that. If they break the shackles free, this match will be insane. In addition, the only A-League match City have failed to score in this season was the RD1 Melbourne Derby. Goals will be coming, Brisbane just have to find a way to stop them.

Head to Head: Melbourne City
Half-time/Full-time: Melbourne City/ Melbourne City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory

Venue: Jubilee Stadium | Start: 6:30PM (AEST)

Sydney let loose in their most recent 4-1 thrashing of Newcastle. All of Ninkovic (6th min), Le Fondre (42nd min) and Barbarouses (65th min) got on the score-sheet in the absolute shellacking. A Koutroumbis OG also occurred in the 51st min. Sydney shot 6/17 on target and had 60% possession. They also completed 83% of their passes, for a pretty good 468/565. The Sky Blues hold the psychological edge here, no matter how you look at it. And that will be the key to them winning this game. They faced of against the Victory in last seasons final series and for those of you that remember, they absolutely shocked and smashed them to the tune of a 6-1 score-line. Calver, Brosque, Ninkovic and Le Fondre (twice) all scored. While there was also a Brozham OG and Toivonen scored a late consolation strike for Melbourne. Sydney know so well what this result meant to their fans and to their eventual Championship victory. It’s in the record books and will never be truly forgotten. They will try and use this edge to beat the Victory in every way and every form possible. And given that Melbourne have just one win from five games so far this new campaign, an early Sydney blitz could result in some big, big trouble for the already struggling mightily Victory.

For Melbourne in their last game, they drew 1-1 with Wellington. In just the 5th minute of the match, they conceded a penalty, but by the 66th minute, a wonderful Toivonen individual effort evened the scores up. And that is how the match stayed. The Victory had 67% of the ball throughout the game and shot 6/20 on target. They also completed a great 87% of their passes, 566/651. Sydney have beaten Melbourne in 9/12 past matches in which they’ve played against one another. And for the Victory, that sort of form against their Big Blue rivals is simply horrible. And something that needs to be rectified ASAP. They are too proud and too successful too let this record continue on for all this much longer. They’ll have to play well as a team. And they’ll have to cut out the individual crap. But if they can play cohesively well and really want it, then there’s a chance that they could upset the Sky Blues here. Their performances have been fairly disappointing to date, but you sense they’re not that far of another win.

Head to Head: Sydney
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/ Sydney
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes