Premier League Betting – Week 15

English Premier League Betting Preview

It’s time for the eagerly anticipated first mid-week match day of the Premier League season. All 20 teams are in action over a 3-day period, with Tottenham at Man United looking like the match of the round. The Merseyside derby also takes place on Thursday morning, with Everton desperately needing a result. We’ll preview all 10 games this week, providing the best bets in the process. Checkout our free EPL tips for this week’s games below.

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Watch Live: Kayo Sports

Wednesday, December 4

Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth

Venue: Selhurst Park | Start: 06:30

Crystal Palace: Palace have enjoyed a middling start to 2019, sitting in 11th place with 18 points thus far. They had a very solid result last time out, a 2-0 win away at Burnley. The attack has averaged less than a goal a game this season, which will need to improve if they’re to climb the table. They’ve been relatively weak as a home side this year, sitting 16th in the form table with just 8 home points.

Bournemouth: Bournemouth find themselves just behind their opponents in this one, sitting in 12th with 16 points. They rallied from an early deficit last time out, ultimately falling just short 3-2 to Spurs. This continued a relatively poor run of recent form that has moved them into the bottom half of the table. They’ve been an average road side on the season, picking up 7 points from 7 to sit 10th in the form table.

Betting Analysis: These are two evenly matched sides that should sit comfortably mid-table at the end of the season. It’s very hard to split these two and I’d expect a relatively entertaining draw here. 1-1 is my projected scoreline, meaning that underdogs Bournemouth are decent value +1. On the totals side, I like the middle opportunity of BTTS and under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Burnley vs Man City

Venue: Turf Moor | Start: 07:15

Burnley: Burnley have been solid but unspectacular in 2019, sitting in 10th place with 18 points. They had a surprisingly poor showing at home last time out, falling 2-0 to Crystal Palace. Their defence has been uncharacteristically leaky this season, already conceding 20 goals. They’ve managed 4 wins at home already, earning them 7th place in the home form table.

Man City: City haven’t reached the heights of last season, sitting in 3rd with 29 points. They should’ve picked up all 3 against Newcastle last week, but a late Shelvey wonder strike meant they had to settle for a point. Their stats still look very solid, leading in the expected points table and sporting a +23 goal difference. They’ve managed 13 points from 7 road games so far, good for 4th in the league.

Betting Analysis: Pep’s sides typically respond very well after a loss and I see no reason why that won’t be the case again here. While Aguero is a big miss, City have the talent up front to exploit Burnley’s leaky defence. I see a relatively high-scoring clash here, one that ends in a 3-1 victory for the Citizens. As far as supplemental bets go, over 2.5 goals and BTTS both offer decent additional value.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Man City/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Thursday, December 5

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Venue: Stamford Bridge | Start: 06:30

Chelsea: Chelsea have been up and down this season, but they still sit comfortably in the top 4 with 26 points. They had one of their worst results of the season last time out, a 1-0 home loss to West Ham. They’ve managed a solid 2 goals per season thus far, but the 20 goals conceded needs to improve going forward. Their home form has been surprisingly poor this season, with 11 points from 7 games good for 8th in the form table.

Aston Villa: Aston Villa are starting to pull away from the relegation zone, now sitting 14th with 15 points on the year. They got a well-earned point last time out, a 2-2 draw away at Old Trafford. The attack has certainly been stellar thus far, scoring 21 goals at an average of 1.5 per game. Their away form has been pretty dreadful thus far, with just 4 points and 5 defeats from 7 games.

Betting Analysis: This has all the makings of a get right game for Chelsea. Villa have been poor on the road all season and I expect them to struggle against the strong Chelsea attack. I like the look of a 3-0 home win to Chelsea here, meaning that Chelsea -2 and Chelsea to win to nil are both solid bets. On the total side, I like over 2.5 goals here and also see some value in ‘no’ on the BTTS market.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Leicester vs Watford

Venue: King Power Stadium | Start: 06:30

Leicester City: The Foxes have been outstanding thus far, sitting 2nd in the table with 32 points from their 14 games. They enjoyed a great escape last time out, with a last-minute 2-1 win over Everton. They now boast the best goal difference in the league, scoring 33 goals and conceding just 9. The King Power has been a fortress all season and they’ve managed a strong 19 points from 7 games there this season.

Watford: The Hornets are rooted to the bottom of the table, having secured just 8 points from 14 games. They had their chances against fellow strugglers Southampton last time out, ultimately falling 2-1 despite scoring the opener. They possess the worst goal difference in the league, scoring just 9 goals and conceding 28. They’ve been slightly better on the road than at home, picking up 5 points on their travels thus far.

Betting Analysis: After sacking Sanchez Flores, I expect a hungry and motivated performance from the Watford players here. That said, they just don’t match up well with this Leicester side, who appear to be on another level right now. I expect another professional Leicester home win here, one that ends in a comfortable 2-0 scoreline. As additional bets, I see some value in Leicester to win to nil and ‘no’ in the BTTS market.

Head to Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Leicester/Leiceser
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Southampton vs Norwich City

Venue: St Mary’s | Start: 06:30

Southampton: It hasn’t been the best season for the Saints thus far, who sit in 18th place with just 12 points. They picked up a much-needed win last time out, a nervy 2-1 against Watford. Their defence could certainly stand to improve, conceding the most goals in the league at 32. They’ve been a very pedestrian home side this season, picking up just 4 points from their first 7 at St Mary’s.

Norwich City: Norwich haven’t been any better than their opponents here, earning just 11 points so far to sit 19th. They had one of their better results last time out, an impressive 2-2 home draw with Arsenal. Their defence is also very vulnerable, conceding 30 goals to trail only Southampton. They’ve been deplorable on the road thus far, sitting bottom of the form table with 4 points and a -9 goal difference.

Betting Analysis: They’ve struggled at home for most of this season, but I think last week was a turning point for Southampton. This is a very similar matchup and they’ve got a noticeable talent edge, particularly up front. It’ll be another tight and competitive one, with the Saints doing just enough to secure a 2-1 win. I like Southampton to win by exactly 1 here and also see value in over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Southampton
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Southampton
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Wolves vs West Ham

Venue: Molineux | Start: 06:30

Wolves: A stellar season so far has Wolves currently occupying 6th place with 20 points. They’ve only had 4 wins this season, but 2 losses from 14 indicates just how tough they are to beat. They played a relatively evenly matched game with Sheffield United last week, ultimately settling for a 1-1 draw. They’ll want to perform better at Molineux the rest of the way, securing just 2 wins from their first 7.

West Ham: It hasn’t been a great season for the Hammers, but they now find themselves in 13th with 16 points. They had a very impressive result last time out, securing a 1-0 win away at Chelsea. This side has a bunch of talent on paper and this could be the catalyst in returning to their early season form. They are relatively dangerous on the road, securing 9 points from their first 7 away games.

Betting Analysis: Wolves have been consistently hard to beat this season and I like the matchup for them here. West Ham had a hugely emotional win last time out and could be primed for a let-down spot here. I think Wolves can get after West Ham’s vulnerable defence in this one, securing a 2-1 win in the process. On the total side, I can see both sides getting on the scoresheet and over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Wolves
Half-time/Full-time: Wolves/Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man United vs Tottenham

Venue: Old Trafford | Start: 06:30

Man United: United have been average at best this season, sitting in 9th with 18 points so far. They had another poor result last time out, a 2-2 draw at home to Aston Villa. The underlying stats suggest they’ve been better than their results suggest, although the defence has looked very problematic at times. They’ve been much better at home thus far, with 12 points and just 1 loss from their first 7 games.

Tottenham: Spurs have been on the incline of late, now sitting in 5th place with 20 points on the season. They got another valuable 3 points last time out, beating Bournemouth 3-2 at home. The defence is still looking very leaky and they’ve conceded a whopping 21 goals already. Their road form just hasn’t been all that impressive, picking up less than a point per game thus far.

Betting Analysis: Spurs appear to be the more talented of these two sides, although United tend to play significantly better at home. I see a somewhat conservative approach from both managers here, especially with Mourinho’s history at Man United. A draw looks to be on the cards, with 1-1 the most likely scoreline here. This is another game where the middle opportunity of BTTS and under 2.5 goals is definitely good value.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Liverpool vs Everton

Venue: Anfield | Start: 07:15

Liverpool: Liverpool enter this clash comfortably in first place, sitting on 40 points thus far. They got another professional win last time out, 2-1 at home against Brighton. Their penchant for 1 goal wins is definitely impressive and a major reason for their sizeable lead at the top. Anfield remains one of the best home fields in the Premier League, with Liverpool yet to drop points at home this season.

Everton: Everton have had a dismal season by their standards, languishing in 17th with just 14 points. They fought hard last time out, but late defensive frailties proved costly in a 2-1 defeat to Leicester. Despite investing a ton of money up front, their lacklustre attack has produced just 14 goals thus far. They’ve been atrocious on the road this season, scoring just 6 goals and picking up 4 total points.

Betting Analysis: Everton will be hoping that the old adage of form getting thrown out the window in a derby holds true here. That said, I don’t see anything but a comfortable Liverpool win and Marco Silva getting sacked. I’m predicting 2-0 to the Reds in this one, with Liverpool to win to nil a decent supplementary option. On the total side, I like under 2.5 goals and ‘no’ in the BTTS market.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Friday, December 6

Sheffield United vs Newcastle

Venue: Bramall Lane | Start: 06:30

Sheffield United: The Blades have definitely surpassed expectations thus far, sitting in 7th place with 19 points. They picked up another hard-fought point last time out, a 1-1 draw away at Wolves. Their resolute defence has been a major calling card, conceding under a goal a game so far. They’ve been solid yet unspectacular at home, picking up 10 points from 7 to sit in the middle of the form table.

Newcastle: Newcastle have also exceeded expectations in 2019, sitting in 14th position with 16 points. They had another impressive result last time out, holding Man City to a 2-2 home draw. Their attack is still somewhat lacking, only managing 13 goals in their 14 league games. They also tend to struggle on the road, picking up just 6 points from their 7 away games thus far.

Betting Analysis: Sheffield United have been hugely impressive this season and I think they’re still somewhat undervalued in the betting market. They’ve been resolute in defence and I don’t see Newcastle having much attacking success here. It’ll likely be a relatively low-scoring game that Sheffield control, doing enough to win 1 or 2-0. With that in mind, I see some value in under 2.5 goals and Sheffield United to win to nil.

Head to Head: Sheffield United
Half-time/Full-time: Sheffield United/Sheffield United
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Arsenal vs Brighton

Venue: Emirates | Start: 07:15

Arsenal: Arsenal have had a pretty poor start to the season, now sitting in 8th place with 19 points. They had another poor result last time out, getting held to a 2-2 draw by Norwich. While they’ve been competitive in most games, 4 wins in 14 and a negative goal difference is definitely cause for concern. They still tend to be a better performing outfit at home, picking up 13 points from their first 7 games.

Brighton: Brighton find themselves in a similar spot to last season, just above the relegation zone in 16th place. They suffered another defeat last time out, falling 2-1 away at Liverpool. Interestingly, they have as many wins as Arsenal this season, with a few blowout defeats worsening their stats. They’re among the worst performs on the road this season, managing just 4 points from 7 games.

Betting Analysis: Despite all the managerial controversy, I see this as a favourable spot for Arsenal here. They’ll be very motivated for this one and I expect an early goal to help calm the nerves. I like Arsenal to win by exactly 1 here, with 2-1 the most likely scoreline. With this in mind, BTTS and over 2.5 goals have some value on the totals side.

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes