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Monday, January 13, 2020
CHIEFS VS TEXANS
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium | Start: 7:05am AEDT
It hasn’t been long — October — since the Houston Texans last upset the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. With a flex-worthy defense coming off of a strong showing against the Buffalo Bills, the Texans bring a full shelf of capable coverage men to KC for a meeting with Patrick Mahomes and the high-octane offense orchestrated by Andy Reid. If the Chiefs have a tangible weakness, it’s a run game with no bell-cow and a tendency to be all or nothing down the stretch. Kansas City has plenty of playmakers to make the Texans perspire. Tight end Travis Kelce had another 1,000-yard season and can hold inside defenders in coverage to create wide passing lanes for Mahomes to find speedy deep threat Tyreek Hill. The Texans are capable of controlling the ball if Deshaun Watson is dialed in and reclamation project Carlos Hyde continues to produce. Protecting Watson is a priority, but not always a successful mission for the Texans.
Win: Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5
Total Points: Under 51.5
PACKERS VS SEAHAWKS
Venue: Lambeau Field | Start: 10:40am AEDT
Winless in eight trips to Lambeau Field since 1999, the Seattle Seahawks are upset-minded behind Russell Wilson after taking care of business in the wild-card round at Philadelphia. The misfortune of Carson Wentz, who left after four throws due to a concussion, helped Seattle in a strong defensive effort. But the Packers are one of the most balanced offensive teams left thanks to running back Aaron Jones. Aaron Rodgers is a serious threat against Seattle’s secondary in any weather, and wide receiver Davante Adams easily creates separation to be the reliable weapon this offense needs in pressure moments. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are hoping Marshawn Lynch guzzles from the fountain of youth once more to keep Seattle going on the ground. Wilson is more than capable of putting up huge numbers against the Green Bay defense, but his offensive line is a ragtag bunch held together by backups and bailing wire at this stage. Wilson had one of his career-worst outings — including five INTs — at Lambeau but if weather is a factor as anticipated, should be able to lean on big rookie receiver DK Metcalf and possession man Tyler Lockett.
Win: Green Bay Packers
Line: Green Bay Packers -4.5
Total Points: Under 46.5