Premier League Betting – Week 24

English Premier League Betting Preview

The Premier League returns for another exciting midweek slate of fixtures. Our free EPL betting tips are provided for every game this round. Chelsea and Arsenal looks like the early match of the round and they’ll get started on Wednesday morning at 7:15. Liverpool vs Wolves also looks like a solid closing game, which will take place Friday at 7:00. We’ll preview all 10 games on the card this week, identifying where the value lies.

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Wednesday, January 22

Bournemouth vs Brighton

Venue: Vitality Stadium | Start: 06:30

Bournemouth: Bournemouth are in a very poor position right now, sitting in 19th with just 20 total points. They’ve lost each of their last 4 games, failing to register a single goal in the process. They fell to 20th place Norwich last weekend, where a win could’ve taken them to 17th. They’ve got the worst home form in the league this season, securing just 10 points from 11 games.

Brighton: Brighton have been good but not great this season, now sitting 15th with 25 total points. They were held to a 1-1 draw against Aston Villa last time out, which will feel like a missed opportunity. They haven’t been a great road side this season, sitting 18th in the form table with just 8 points in 11.

Betting Analysis: Given Bournemouth’s horrific recent form, you have to think they’ll be motivated heading into this one. Brighton are also the better of the two sides and they’ll want to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle. I’d predict a relatively close draw here and I’ll go with a 1-1 scoreline. A goalless draw is definitely in play, so I’d also recommend under 2.5.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Aston Villa vs Watford

Venue: Villa Park | Start: 06:30

Aston Villa: It hasn’t been smooth sailing for Aston Villa, who now sit 18th with 22 points. They managed a well-earned point at Brighton last week and are just 1 point away from safety. Their home form has been good but not great, earning 14 points from their first 11 games.

Watford: A resurgent run has seen Watford escape the drop zone, now sitting 17th with 23 total points. They had a decent result against Spurs last time out, escaping with a 0-0 draw. The attack isn’t fantastic, but they have still won 3 of their last 4 overall. Watford aren’t a great road side, securing 9 points from 11 games thus far.

Betting Analysis: This is another intriguing game that definitely looms as a relegation 6-pointer. Watford were always a talented side on paper and Nigel Pearson appears to have turned things around. I’ll predict another 1-1 draw here, meaning that the middle of under 2.5 and BTTS is wide open.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Villa/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Venue: Selhurst Park | Start: 06:30

Crystal Palace: Palace are in the midst of a very solid season, currently in 9th place with 30 points. They’ve drawn each of their last 4 contests, including an impressive 2-2 last time out against Man City. Their home form has been middling this season, getting 16 points from 11 games and sporting a neutral goal difference.

Southampton: Another side that has risen rapidly of late, the Saints are now 13th with 28 points. They suffered their first loss in a while last time out, a 3-2 away at top 6 side Wolves. They’ve been surprisingly great on the road this season, winning 3 of their last 4 en route to 17 total points.

Betting Analysis: Despite Southampton’s strong recent form, it’s tough to ignore Palace at home here. The Saints have a fairly leaky defence that could lead to some goal scoring opportunities for Zaha, Ayew and Co. I only see one goal in it, with 2-1 and 1-0 the most likely outcomes.

Head to Head: Palace
Half-time/Full-time: Palace/Palace
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sheffield United vs Man City

Venue: Bramall Lane | Start: 06:30

Sheffield United: The Blades have wildly exceeded expectations this season, now sitting 7th with 33 points. They got another decent result last time out, securing a 1-1 draw with Arsenal. Their home form has been stellar this season, with 17 points and a +3-goal difference from their first 11 games.

Man City: City have overtaken Leicester to sit 2nd with 48 points from 23 games. They weren’t at their best against Crystal Palace last time out, ultimately getting held to a 2-2 draw. They’re still a very impressive away side, with 22 points and 33 goals scored in their 11 road games thus far.

Betting Analysis: While Sheffield United have been a good story, I think they’ve been playing above their level this season. City are comfortably the better of these two sides and I think they can control this game in the midfield. I don’t anticipate a blowout, but 2-1 City seems like a fairly probable final scoreline.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Man City/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Everton vs Newcastle

Venue: Goodison Park | Start: 06:30

Everton: It has been a middling season for the Toffees, who now sit 11th with 29 points. Their form has noticeably improved of late and they were good value for a draw with West Ham last week. Goodison is still a tough place to play and they’ve secured 20 points from their 11 games there thus far.

Newcastle: Newcastle haven’t been half bad this season, sitting behind Everton on goal difference in 12th. They had an especially good result last time out, taking care of Chelsea 1-0 at home. Their away form hasn’t been great, securing 10 points and a -12-goal difference from their 11 road games.

Betting Analysis: Everton are the better of these two sides, even managing a strong 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture. Couple that with their strong home form and I think they’re good value to get another win in this one. I think they keep a clean sheet against Newcastle’s relatively poor attack, with 2-0 a likely scoreline.

Head to Head: Everton
Half-time/Full-time: Everton/Everton
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Chelsea vs Arsenal

Venue: Stamford Bridge | Start: 07:15

Chelsea: Frank Lampard has had solid start to life as Chelsea manager, with his side in the top 4 on 39 points. Their recent form has tailed off somewhat, especially last week at Newcastle where they lost 1-0. They currently sit 9th in the home form table, having secured 17 points from their first 11 games.

Arsenal: It has been an incredibly disappointing season for the Gunners, wo sit 10th with 29 points. Things haven’t picked up under new manager Mikel Arteta, with recent draws against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, and Sheffield United. They’ve been average on the road this season, securing 2 wins and 12 points from their first 11 games.

Betting Analysis: I think Chelsea are the better of these two sides and they’ll be looking to cement themselves in the top 4. They won the reverse fixture last month and should be able to score against a leaky Arsenal defence. I like them by a similar 2-1 scoreline here, with over 2.5 goals a solid supplementary bet.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Thursday, January 23

Leicester vs West Ham

Venue: King Power Stadium | Start: 06:30

Leicester City: Leicester have had a strong season overall, now sitting in 3rd place with 45 points. They have lost their last two games though, including a 2-1 defeat away at Burnley last week. The King Power has been a fortress all season and they’ve secured 23 points from 11 games there thus far.

West Ham: The Hammers are in the midst of a relegation battle, currently in 16th place with 23 points. They’ve been in some poor recent form, although the point against Everton last week is a step forward. They’ve actually been better away than they have been at home so far, securing 12 points from their first 11 games.

Betting Analysis: Having lost two on the bounce, I think Leicester will be very motivated to turn things around here. They’re the better of these two sides and they’ve been excellent at home all season. I expect a relatively routine home win here, with a nice clean sheet in a 2-0 rout.

Head to Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Leicester/Leicester
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No

Tottenham vs Norwich

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | Start: 06:30

Tottenham: It hasn’t been a great season for Spurs, who now sit 8th with 31 points. They’re winless in their last 4 games and were held to a 0-0 draw at Watford last time out. They’ve been significantly better at home this season, sitting 5th in the form table with 20 points from 11 games.

Norwich City: Norwich look odds on to go down, currently 6 points away from safety in 20th position. They got a much-needed win last time out, beating 19th place Bournemouth 1-0. They’ve been historically bad as a road side this season, securing just 5 points from 11 games.

Betting Analysis: Spurs haven’t been at their best this season, but they’re still significantly better than Norwich. The Canaries have a very vulnerable defence and Spurs should definitely score a few here. I’ll go with 3-1 as a final scoreline, meaning over 2.5 and even over 3.5 look fairly enticing.

Head to Head: Tottenham
Half-time/Full-time: Tottenham/Tottenham
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man United vs Burnley

Venue: Old Trafford | Start: 07:15

Man United: United have been better than the media narratives would suggest this season, currently in 5th with 34 points. They did lose 2-0 away at Liverpool last week, but it was a result that everyone saw coming. Old Trafford is again becoming a tough place to play, with United averaging 2 points a game there thus far.

Burnley: Burnley haven’t had a great season, yet they still sit 14th with 27 total points. They finally broke their big losing streak last week, beating 3rd place Leicester at home. They’ve struggled as a road side thus far, getting just 9 points from their first 11 away games.

Betting Analysis: United are the better of these two sides and won the reverse fixture fairly comfortably. They’re a different side at home, while Burnley just haven’t been good on the road under Sean Dyche. I’d expect United to get the job done here, with 2-1 being my final score prediction.

Head to Head: Man Utd
Half-time/Full-time: United/United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Friday, January 24

Wolves vs Liverpool

Venue: Molineux | Start: 07:15

Wolves: Wolves have had a stellar start to this season, currently in 6th with 34 total points. They had an impressive result last time out, a 3-2 win over a surging Southampton side. Their home form puts them middle of the pack, having secured 17 points from their first 11 games.

Liverpool: Liverpool remain at the top of the table, now sitting on 64 points. They had another win last time out, getting past Man United 2-0. Their road form has been impressive thus far, securing 28 points from their first 10 games.

Betting Analysis: Wolves have been a strong side at home all season and I think they can hang with Liverpool here. This has all the makings of a competitive game that is tight from start to finish. I like Wolves at the +1 handicap, with a 1-1 draw being my final score prediction.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes