Premier League Tips – Week 25

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The EPL returns for another full slate of fixtures here on match week 25. Our Premier League betting tips are provided for every game. We’ve got some crackers this week, headlined by Tottenham hosting Man City on Monday morning. We also get started in a battle between 3rd and 4th as Leicester play host to Chelsea. We’ll go through all 10 games this weekend, identifying where the value lies.

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EPL Tips – Saturday, February 1

Leicester vs Chelsea

Venue: King Power Stadium | Start: 23:30

Leicester: Leicester have had a very solid campaign, currently sitting firmly in 3rd with 48 points. They managed an impressive 4-1 win over West Ham last time out, bringing them 8 points ahead of Chelsea in 4th. They’ve been dominant at home all season, sitting 3rd in the form table with 26 points.

Chelsea: Chelsea have had a solid but unspectacular season, sitting 4th with 40 total points. They dropped points again last time out, being held to a 2-2 draw by a 10-man Arsenal outfit. Their road form remains very solid, having secured 22 points from their first 12 away games this season.

Analysis: This has all the makings of a tight game between two very evenly matched sides. A draw looks like the best value option here, with 1-1 the most likely scoreline. I see both sides scoring here, but also like the middle opportunity when combined with under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

EPL Tips – Sunday, February 2

Newcastle vs Norwich

Venue: St James’ Park | Start: 02:00

Newcastle: Newcastle have outperformed expectations thus far, sitting in 14th place with 30 points. They got a solid point last time out, managing a 2-2 draw away at Everton. They’ve moved up to 7th in the home form table with a good recent run, earning 19 points from their first 12 games.

Norwich: The Canaries remain rooted to the bottom of the table, having secured just 17 points thus far. They suffered yet another defeat last time out, this time a valiant 2-1 loss away to Spurs. Their road form has been historically bad this season, managing just 5 points from 12 games.

Analysis: While Newcastle are in 14th, they still could get dragged into a relegation battle. This is a game where they’ve got the talent advantage and should be motivated to win. I’m predicting a 2-1 Magpies win here, with over 2.5 goals also firmly in play.

Head to Head: Newcastle
Half-time/Full-time: Newcastle/Newcastle
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United

Venue: Selhurst Park | Start: 02:00

Crystal Palace: A decent season from Palace sees them in 11th place, also on 30 points. They had a rather poor result last time out, losing 2-0 to Southampton at home. They haven’t been great at Selhurst Park thus far, only winning 4 out of their first 12 games there.

Sheffield United: The Blades continue to impress as underdogs, sitting 8th with 33 points on the season. They fought hard against City last time out, ultimately succumbing to a 1-0 defeat. They’re one of the better road sides in the division, securing 16 points from 12 games thus far.

Analysis: This is another very evenly matched game that could really go either way. With how strong Sheffield have been on the road, I think another 1-1 draw could be on the cards here. In terms of supplementary bets, I like under 2.5 goals and Sheffield +1.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Palace/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

West Ham vs Brighton

Venue: London Stadium | Start: 02:00

West Ham: A disappointing campaign from the Hammers sees them in 17th place with 23 points. They were fairly ordinary last time out, falling 4-1 away at Leicester. Their home form has oddly been even worse, sitting 19th in the form table with 11 points thus far.

Brighton: A pedestrian campaign from Brighton has them in 15th place with 25 points. They suffered a bad defeat last time out, falling 3-1 away at Bournemouth. They’ve struggled on the road all season, managing just 8 points from 12 games.

Analysis: With the Hammers being dreadful at home and Brighton being an atrocious road side, something has to give here. With a midweek match against Liverpool, I can see West Ham being somewhat fatigued here. Brighton have a real shot at getting something from this and I’ll ultimately predict a 1-1 draw.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Venue: Vitality Stadium | Start: 02:00

Bournemouth: A poor season by Bournemouth’s standards has them in 18th on 23 points. They had a step in the right direction last time out, taking care of Brighton 3-1 at home. Their home form has been a major reason behind their struggles, securing just 13 points from 12 games thus far.

Aston Villa: An inconsistent season from Villa sees them in 16th place with 25 total points. They got a much-needed 3 points last time out, taking care of Watford 2-1 at home. Their road form has been a bit more questionable, only managing 8 points from 12 games.

Analysis: Villa are a terrible road side and Bournemouth appear to be trending in the right direction. They finally appear to be finding their scoring boots and I’m anticipating a home win in this one. 2-0 is my score prediction, with Bournemouth to win to nil looking particularly good.

Head to Head: Bournemouth
Half-time/Full-time: Bournemouth/Bournemouth
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

Watford vs Everton

Venue: Goodison Park | Start: 02:00

Watford: It hasn’t been a great season for Watford, who currently sit 19th with just 23 points. They had a relatively poor result last time out, falling 2-1 away at Villa. They’ve picked up their home form under Nigel Pearson, having managed 14 points from 12 games thus far.

Everton: A middling season from Everton sees them in 12th place with 30 points. They also had a poor result last time out, getting held to a 2-2 draw with Newcastle. They’ve been a different side on the road this season, securing just 9 of their 30 points in away games.

Analysis: Everton are the more talented side on paper, but they’ve just been dreadful on the road all season. Watford have been much better of late and I can really see them getting something here. A draw looks like the best bet here, with 1-1 being my predicted final scoreline.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Liverpool vs Southampton

Venue: Anfield | Start: 02:00

Liverpool: Liverpool continue to sit in 1st, having dropped just 2 points this season. They had another solid result last time out, taking care of Wolves 2-1. Their home form has been on another level, having won every game at Anfield this season.

Southampton: The Saints have rebounded from a very rough start to sit in 9th place with 31 total points. They had another good result last time out, earning all 3 points in a 2-0 win away at Palace. They’re actually 5th in the road form table, having secured 20 points from 12 games thus far.

Analysis: It’s tough to look past anything but a Liverpool win here. They’re the significantly better of the two sides and the odds reflect that. I’ll go 2-0 as my final score, meaning that under 2.5 and ‘no’ in the BTTS market are also solid options.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Man United vs Wolves

Venue: Old Trafford | Start: 04:30

Man United: A middling campaign from United sees them in 5th place on 34 points. They suffered an embarrassing loss last time out, falling 2-0 away at Burnley. Their home form has been much better this season, currently 5th in the form table with 22 home points.

Wolves: Wolves find themselves in 7th on 34 points, with a goal difference 4 worse than United’s. They looked good against Liverpool last time out, but were ultimately undone by a late winner. They’ve been as good away as they have been at home this season, picking up 17 points on their travels thus far.

Analysis: This is another evenly matched game that could really go either way. United have a midweek cup tie against City, which could make them more fatigued and play into Wolves’ hands. A draw is probably the most likely outcome here, and I see 1-1 or 0-0 as reasonable scorelines.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

EPL Tips – Monday, February 3

Burnley vs Arsenal

Venue: Turf Moor | Start: 01:00

Burnley: An under-the-radar season from Burnley has them in 13th place with 30 total points. They’ve managed consecutive wins over Leicester and United to separate themselves from the relegation pack. Turf Moor is still a tough place to play and they’ve won 50% of their home games this season.

Arsenal: The Gunners also enter this clash on 30 points, admittedly sitting in 10th due to a better goal difference. They showed a lot of fight away at Chelsea last time out, securing a 2-2 draw despite playing with 10 men. They’ve won just twice on the road this season, suggesting this might be a tough one.

Analysis: Neither side has looked great this season, but they’re both still only 4 points away from European football. While they don’t win many away, Arsenal have recorded 7 draws in 12 road league games thus far. I expect that trend to continue here and anticipate a score draw between these two sides.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Tottenham vs Man City

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | Start: 03:30

Tottenham: A middling season for Spurs has them in 6th place with 34 points. It wasn’t easy against Norwich last time out, but they ultimately got the much-needed victory. Their home form has been impressive all year, securing 23 points from 12 total games.

Man City: City are in the midst of another solid campaign, securing 51 points from 24 games. They managed a professional win last time out, taking care of Sheffield United 1-0. Their road form has also been quite solid, earning 25 points from 12 games thus far.

Analysis: This is probably the game of the weekend and features two managers with no love lost. It may be higher stakes for Spurs, but I think City are the better side and can dominate the midfield here. I’ll go 2-1 City as a final, meaning that BTTS and over 2.5 goals are both also in play.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes