Premier League Betting Preview

The Premier League returns this weekend for another full slate of fixtures. We’ve got some exciting matchups ahead, headlined by Leicester taking on Man City on Sunday morning. Another top 6 battle also awaits us, with Chelsea hosting Spurs on Saturday evening. We’ll go through all 10 fixtures on the slate, identifying where the value lies.

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Saturday, February 22

Chelsea vs Tottenham

Venue: Stamford Bridge | Start: 23:30

Chelsea: Chelsea have been good but not great this season, occupying 4th place with 41 total points. They had a rather poor result last time out, losing 2-0 at home to Man United. They find themselves just 12th in the home form table, earning 18 points from 13 games thus far.

Tottenham: Spurs have had a similar season to Chelsea, sitting just 1 point behind in 5th. They got a crucial win last time out, taking care of Villa 3-2 on the road. This was just their 3rd road win of the season, indicative of their struggles away from home.

Analysis: This is a very evenly matched game, with very little between these two sides. Given Spurs’ road struggles and Chelsea’s motivation after a poor loss, I think the Blues just manage to edge it here. I’ll go 2-1 Chelsea, with BTTS and over 2.5 both very much in play.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sunday, February 23

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Venue: Selhurst Park | Start: 02:00

Crystal Palace: Palace have very much struggled of late, now sitting 14th with 30 points. They again failed to get a result last time out, falling 3-1 away at Everton. Their home form has plagued them of late, managing just 16 points from 13 games thus far.

Newcastle: Newcastle are also just hanging on, currently in 13th with 31 points. They had a very poor performance last time out, falling 4-0 away at Arsenal. They’ve earned just 11 points from 13 road games thus far, indicative of their road struggles.

Analysis: Another pretty even matchup, but Newcastle just haven’t been good on the road this season. I’ll take Palace in a tight one at home, either 1 or 2-0. Palace to win to nil is a solid option, as is under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Palace
Half-time/Full-time: Palace/Palace
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Burnley vs Bournemouth

Venue: Turf Moor | Start: 02:00

Burnley: Burnley find themselves comfortably mid-table, sitting 11th with 34 points. They had another positive result last time out, beating Southampton 2-1 away. They’ve continued to be competitive at home, securing 19 points from 13 games thus far.

Bournemouth: Just outside the drop zone, Bournemouth sit 16th with 26 total points. They had another poor result last time out, falling 2-1 away at Sheffield United. They’ve struggled on the road all year, earning just 10 points from 13 games.

Analysis: While this game means more to Bournemouth, I just don’t see them getting the job done here. Burnley are looking like the better side and they’ve got a strong home field advantage. I’ll say 2-1 to the Clarets here, with over 2.5 and BTTS both also in play.

Head to Head: Burnley
Half-time/Full-time: Burnley/Burnley
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sheffield United vs Brighton

Venue: Bramall Lane | Start: 02:00

Sheffield United: The Blades have had a solid season to date, sitting 6th with 39 points. They managed another win last time out, taking care of Bournemouth 2-1 at home. Their home form has been decent thus far, sitting 8th in the form table with 20 total points.

Brighton: Brighton currently find themselves in 15th place with 27 points. They had a missed opportunity last time out, ultimately drawing at home to 19th place Watford. They’ve struggled away all season, picking up just 9 points on their travels thus far.

Analysis: Sheffield United have a lot to play for here and I’d expect them to win this relatively comfortably at home. Their defence has been solid all season, so I’ll go ahead and predict another 1-0 or 2-0 here. Sheffield to win to nil is in play, as is under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Sheffield
Half-time/Full-time: Sheffield/Sheffield
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Southampton vs Aston Villa

Venue: St Mary’s | Start: 02:00

Southampton: Recent improvements have the Saints in 12th with 31 points. They also had a disappointing result last time out, falling 2-1 at home to Burnley. Their home form is actually worst in the league, managing only 11 points so far.

Aston Villa: Villa are just above the relegation zone, sitting in 17th with 25 points. They lost yet again last time out, falling 3-2 at home to Spurs. They haven’t done well as an away side all year, picking up just 8 points from 13 games.

Analysis: While Southampton have struggled at home and Villa have struggled away, I think the Saints are the better team here. They’ve got a solid attack and I’d expect a few goals in this one. I’ll go 2-1 Southampton as my prediction, adding in over 2.5 and BTTS as complementary bets.

Head to Head: Southampton
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Southampton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Leicester vs Man City

Venue: King Power | Start: 04:30

Leicester: Leicester have tailed off of late, now sitting outright 3rd with 50 points. They were held again last time out, forced to settle for a 0-0 at Wolves. They do tend to perform better at home, picking up 27 points from 13 games thus far.

Man City: City currently sit in 2nd place, earning 51 points from their first 25 games. A postponement means they face West Ham only a few days before this clash, which isn’t ideal for a winter break. They’ve still fared well on the road this season, picking up 25 points from their first 13 games.

Analysis: The reverse fixture between these two was fairly competitive, and I see a similar game here. City are the better side, but home field advantage does favour Leicester. I’ll go the safe route of a draw here, with 1-1 looking like a strong scorecast option.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Monday, February 24

Wolves vs Norwich

Venue: Molineux | Start: 01:00

Wolves: Wolves are having another solid season, now sitting 8th with 36 points. They had another decent result last time out, securing a home draw with Leicester. Their home form has been middling this season, securing 18 points from 13 games so far.

Norwich: Norwich have had a poor season from start to finish, sitting dead last with 18 points. They put up a good fight last time out, ultimately falling 1-0 to Liverpool. They are easily the worst home side in the league, picking up just 6 points so far.

Analysis: Norwich have been awful on the road all season and I don’t really see things changing here. I expect another comfortable home win for Wolves, likely by multiple goals. I’ll say 3-1 here in what could be a high-scoring affair.

Head to Head: Wolves
Half-time/Full-time: Wolves/Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man United vs Watford

Venue: Old Trafford | Start: 01:00

Man United: United are having another middling campaign, sitting in 7th with 38 points. They got a good result last time out, taking care of Chelsea 2-0 on the road. They’ve performed well at home this season, picking up 23 points from 13 games.

Watford: Watford have struggled all year long, sitting in 19th with just 24 points. They got a decent road point last time out, a 1-1 draw at Brighton. They’ve been poor away all season, picking up only 10 points from 13 games.

Analysis: On paper, this should be a routine home win for United. Given that they tend to struggle in these games, I can see it being a little closer. I’ll ultimately go 2-1 to United here along with over 2.5.

Head to Head: Man Utd
Half-time/Full-time: United/United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Arsenal vs Everton

Venue: Emirates | Start: 03:30

Arsenal: Another middling season for Arsenal has them in 10th with 34 points. They finally got a win last week, taking care of Newcastle 4-0 at home. Their home form has been better this season, picking up 20 points from 13 games thus far.

Everton: Everton are just ahead of Arsenal, sitting in 9th with 36 points. They’ve been on a solid run of form, comfortably beating Palace 3-1 last time out. They just aren’t the same side on the road, managing only 12 away points thus far.

Analysis: Neither side has had an inspiring season and I’m sure both will want a better return in 2020/21. This has all the makings of a competitive but uninteresting game, one that likely finishes in a draw. For the scorecast value, I’ll say 1-1 is the most likely outcome.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Tuesday, February 25

Liverpool vs West Ham

Venue: Anfield | Start: 07:00

Liverpool: Liverpool currently sit in 1st place with 76 points. They had another solid result last week, beating Norwich 1-0. Their home form has been strong all season, having won all 13 games.

West Ham: The Hammers sit in 18th with just 24 points thus far. They do have a game in hand, although I don’t expect much against City away. They’ve been middle of the pack on the road thus far, averaging a point per game.

Analysis: I’d be shocked at anything except for a Liverpool win here. It should be by multiple goals and I’ll predict a 3-1 final. Add in over 2.5 goals as a decent complementary bet.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liv/Liv
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes