Premier League Tips – Week 29

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Premier League Betting Tips

The Premier League returns this weekend for another exciting slate of 10 fixtures. The Manchester derby on Sunday morning is definitely the headliner, with Chelsea vs Everton a close second. We’ll preview all 10 games on the slate this weekend, identifying where the betting value lies.

Watch Live: Kayo Sports

Saturday, March 7

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Venue: Anfield | Start: 23:30

Liverpool: I can’t have been the only one to enjoy watching Liverpool get slapped up at Watford last weekend. Having been previously unbeaten all season, they suffered a shock 3-0 defeat that resulted in 3 huge points for Watford. They’ve been a different beast at home this season, where they maintain a flawless record.

Bournemouth: Bournemouth enter this clash in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th place. They earned a decent point last time out, securing a 1-1 draw against Chelsea. Their away form has been pedestrian all season, securing just 10 points from 14 games thus far.

Analysis: Given how atrocious last week’s result was, we’re likely to see a much better display from Liverpool here. Bournemouth just aren’t built to contain this and I’d expect a comfortable home win. 3-0 or 3-1 look like good scorecast plays, combined nicely with over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: N/A

Sunday, March 8

Wolves vs Brighton

Venue: Molineux | Start: 02:00

Wolves: Wolves enter this week in 6th place with 42 total points. They managed a big win last time out, beating Spurs 3-2 away from home. They’ve earned 21 points both home and away this season, suggesting home field isn’t too big of a factor.

Brighton: Brighton have earned a point a game this season, which is currently good for 15th. They’ll be kicking themselves for last week’s result, a 1-0 home loss to rivals Crystal Palace. They’re 16th in the road form table, earning just 10 points from 14 away games.

Analysis: Wolves are looking good value for a top 6 spot this season and this match appears very winnable. Brighton will scrap and compete, but they’ve really struggled away this season. I think Wolves get the job done at home here, with 2-0 my final projected scoreline.

Head to Head: Wolves
Half-time/Full-time: Wolves/Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Arsenal vs West Ham

Venue: Emirates | Start: 02:00

Arsenal: An indifferent campaign from Arsenal has them in 10th place on 37 points. They earned a much-needed 3 points last time out, beating Everton 3-2 at home. They’re certainly no pushovers at the Emirates, getting 23 points from their first 14 games.

West Ham: The Hammers are just outside the relegation zone, sitting in 16th with 27 points. They had a big win last time out, beating Southampton 3-1 at home. They sit 14th in the away form table, having picked up 12 points thus far.

Analysis: West Ham badly need a result here, but the matchup really favours Arsenal. I think their strikers can really have a field day en route to a comfortable win. I’ll say 3-1 to the Gunners here, opening up over 2.5 and BTTS as possibilities.

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Southampton vs Newcastle

Venue: St Mary’s | Start: 02:00

Southampton: The Saints currently sit in 13th place with 34 points. They had a relatively poor result last time out, falling 3-1 away at West Ham. Oddly, they sit 20th in the home form table, with just 14 points thus far.

Newcastle: Newcastle are just behind Southampton in 14th, with 32 points of their own. It wasn’t pretty, but they picked up another valuable point last time out in a 0-0 draw with Burnley. They aren’t a particularly good road side, managing just 11 points from their first 14 outings.

Analysis: Despite their poor home form this season, I have to back Southampton in this one. They’re the better of these two sides and have some real mismatches they can exploit here. I can’t see it being a blowout, but 2-1 Southampton is definitely realistic.

Head to Head: Southampton
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Southampton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sheffield United vs Norwich

Venue: Bramall Lane | Start: 02:00

Sheffield United: The Blades sit in 8th place on 40 points, with a game in hand. They had a missed opportunity last time out, settling for a 1-1 home draw with Brighton. They’ve largely been strong at Bramall Lane this season, picking up 21 points from 14 games.

Norwich: Norwich remain at the foot of the table, sitting in 20th with just 21 points. They had a big result last time out, beating Leicester 1-0 at home. They’ve been historically bad on the road this season, earning just 6 points thus far.

Analysis: We’ve got the Championship’s top two from last season, which surprisingly looks like quite the mismatch. Sheffield have exceeded all expectations this season, while Norwich have struggled mightily. I like the Blades to get the job done here, with 2-0 and 2-1 the most likely outcomes.

Head to Head: Sheffield United
Half-time/Full-time: Sheffield/Sheffield
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Crystal Palace vs Watford

Venue: Selhurst Park | Start: 02:00

Crystal Palace: A decent season sees Palace in 12th place with 36 total points. They had a good result last time out, a road win away at bitter rivals Brighton. They’ve been solid at home this season, sitting 13th in the form table with 19 points.

Watford: Watford sit just above the relegation zone in 17th, currently with 27 points. They had a huge win last time out, dispatching of Liverpool 3-0 with relative ease. Their road form has been largely poor this season, managing just 10 points from 14 games.

Analysis: Palace look to be safe for another season, while Watford will be fighting tooth and nail for every point. I think they build on their win over Liverpool and get a result here, with a draw being fairly likely. 1-1 looks like a good scorecast prediction, tying in nicely with Watford +1 goal.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Burnley vs Tottenham

Venue: Turf Moor | Start: 04:30

Burnley: Burnley have quietly had a solid season, sitting in 9th with 38 total points. They managed another decent result last time out, getting an away point at Newcastle. They’ve excelled at home this season, picking up 22 points from 14 games.

Tottenham: A middling campaign from Spurs sees them just 2 points ahead of Burnley in 7th. They had an unfortunate result last time out, blowing a lead to lose 3-2 at home to Wolves. Their road form could stand to be better, averaging just a point a game thus far.

Analysis: I see this being a hard-fought and competitive game that will likely be within a goal. Both sides could really use a win here, but I think they’ll ultimately end up sharing the spoils. The draw looks like great value here, with 1-1 a particularly enticing scorecast option.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Burnley/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Monday, March 9

Chelsea vs Everton

Venue: Stamford Bridge | Start: 01:00

Chelsea: A solid campaign sees Chelsea in 4th position with 45 total points. They had to settle for a point last time out, only managing a 2-2 draw away at Bournemouth. They haven’t been as good at home this season, sitting 10th in the form table with 21 points from 14 games.

Everton: Another mid-table season for Everton sees them in 11th place with 37 points. They had a decent result last time out, securing a 1-1 draw with Man United. They’ve largely struggled away this season, earning just 12 points from 14 games.

Analysis: Chelsea are the more talented of these two sides and I’d expect Everton’s road struggles to continue here. I can see this being a high scoring game, with both sides scoring and over 2.5 goals being had. For the scorecast bettors, I’ll predict a final of 3-1 Chelsea.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man United vs Man City

Venue: Old Trafford | Start: 03:30

Man United: United have had an indifferent campaign, sitting in 5th with 42 points. They picked up a solid point last time out, earning a 1-1 draw away at Everton. They’ve excelled at home this season, sitting 4th in the form table with 26 points thus far.

Man City: City are having another solid campaign, sitting in 2nd with 57 points from 27 games. They beat Leicester away in their last league match, backed up nicely by a League Cup trophy win. Their road form continues to be impressive, averaging 2 points a game thus far.

Analysis: City have excelled at Old Trafford under Guardiola and I can see them winning again here. They’ve picked up some big wins of late and will be looking to avenge their early-season defeat. I can see it being competitive, but I’ll ultimately go 2-1 to City here.

Head to Head: City
Half-time/Full-time: City/City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Tuesday, March 10

Leicester vs Aston Villa

Venue: King Power Stadium | Start: 07:00

Leicester: Leicester are having a solid campaign, sitting 3rd in the league with 50 total points. They’ve faded somewhat of late, even losing away at bottom place Norwich last time out. Their home form remains very impressive, picking up 27 points from 14 games thus far.

Aston Villa: Villa find themselves in real danger, sitting in 19th with just 25 points. They suffered a 2-0 defeat to Southampton in their last league match, backed up by a league cup final loss. They’ve not been a good away side this season, earning just 8 points from 14 games.

Analysis: Villa will fight hard here, but Leicester also need a win to cement their top 4 place. I expect a professional home win in this one, likely keeping a clean sheet too. For the scorecast backers, I’ll say 2-0 to Leicester here.

Head to Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Leicester/Leicester
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No