English Premier League Betting Preview

The Premier League returns this weekend for another exciting full slate of fixtures. The headliner occurs on Monday morning, with Spurs and Mourinho playing host to United. This week’s action concludes with the Merseyside derby on Tuesday morning, with Everton playing host to Liverpool. We’ll preview all 10 fixtures here and identify where the value lies.

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Saturday, March 14

Watford vs Leicester

Venue: Vicarage Road | Start: 23:30

Watford: Watford find themselves just outside the relegation zone, siting 17th with 27 points. They suffered another defeat last time out, falling 1-0 away at Crystal Palace. They’ve done slightly better at home this season, picking up 17 points from 14 games.

Leicester: Leicester are in the midst of another solid campaign, sitting comfortably in 3rd place. They had another strong result last time out, demolishing Villa 4-0 at home. They’ve been consistently good on the road, sitting 4th in the form table with 23 total points.

Analysis: Leicester are the more talented side, but I can really see Watford getting up for this in prime time. They’ll be desperate to get a result and I foresee a solid defensive display that gets them a draw. I’ll say 1-1 for the scorecast backers here, with under 2.5 also looking decent.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sunday, March 15

Brighton vs Arsenal

Venue: Amex | Start: 02:00

Brighton: Brighton are just above the relegation zone, sitting 15th with 29 points. They picked up a decent point last time out, holding Wolves to a 0-0 draw on the road. They tend to perform much better at home, picking up 18 points from 14 games thus far.

Arsenal: A pretty pedestrian season has Arsenal in 9th place on 40 points. They had a decent result last time out, a 1-0 home win over West Ham. Their road form hasn’t been great this season, averaging a point a game so far.

Analysis: Arsenal have a mid-week catch-up fixture against City, which isn’t great for their preparations here. Brighton is a tough place to play and I can see the Seagulls getting a result in this one. I’ll go for another 1-1 here, with BTTS as a decent complementary bet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Norwich vs Southampton

Venue: Carrow Road | Start: 02:00

Norwich: Norwich have been at the bottom all season, sitting dead last with 21 points. They suffered yet another defeat last time out, falling 1-0 away at Sheffield United. They’ve been slightly better at home this season, picking up 15 points from 14 games.

Southampton: The Saints sit rather comfortably in 14th, having picked up 34 points so far. They’ve slipped a bit recently, losing 1-0 at home to Newcastle last time out. Their road form has been impressive thus far, sitting 6th in the form table with 20 total points.

Analysis: Norwich’s season appears all but over, while Southampton will be looking to maintain their distance from the relegation zone. I think Southampton’s front three could have a field day here, doing enough to secure a 2-1 victory. It should be a relatively attacking affair, with over 2.5 and BTTS both solid bets.

Head to Head: Southampton
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Southampton
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Newcastle vs Sheffield United

Venue: St James’ Park | Start: 02:00

Newcastle: Newcastle are in the midst of a solid campaign, sitting in 13th place with an impressive 35 points. They got a vital win last time out, taking care of Southampton 1-0 on the road. They’ve been solid at home this season, averaging 1.5 points per game thus far.

Sheffield United: The Blades are also enjoying a promising season, sitting in 7th place with 43 total points. They had another routine win last time out, taking care of Norwich 1-0 at home. They’ve been solid on the road thus far, securing 19 points from their first 13 games.

Analysis: This has the makings of a close match between two relatively evenly matched sides. I think we’re in for a competitive and low-scoring match, one that likely ends in a draw. 1-1 and 0-0 look like the best scorecast options, with under 2.5 also a solid bet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: N/A

Man City vs Burnley

Venue: Etihad | Start: 02:00

Man City: City are in the midst of a decent campaign, sitting 2nd with 57 points and a game in hand. They had a poor result at the weekend, falling 2-0 away at Man United. Their home form has still been impressive all season, averaging almost 2.5 points per game.

Burnley: Burnley find themselves comfortably mid-table, in 10th place with 39 points. They picked up another decent result last time out, a 1-1 draw against Tottenham. They also find themselves 10th in the road form table, with 16 points from 14 games.

Analysis: Given City’s recent fixture pile-up, this is a tough one to predict. Assuming we see a relatively strong line-up, I think they’ve got too much talent for Burnley here. I can see it being a high-scoring affair, so I’ll say 3-1 with over 2.5 as a supplement.

Head to Head: City
Half-time/Full-time: City/City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

Venue: Vitality | Start: 02:00

Bournemouth: Bournemouth remain in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th with 27 points. They came up empty-handed last week, falling 2-1 away at Liverpool. Their home form hasn’t been great this season, sitting 16th in the form table with 17 points.

Crystal Palace: Palace have enjoyed a pretty solid campaign, sitting 11th with 39 total points. They picked up another win last time out, taking care of Watford 1-0 at home. They’ve also been a good road side thus far, sitting 8th in the form table with 17 points.

Analysis: Palace are comfortably mid-table, while Bournemouth badly need a result to escape the relegation zone. I think they pull off a surprise win here, getting over the line 2-1. In terms of supplementary bets, I see some value in over 2.5 and BTTS.

Head to Head: Bournemouth
Half-time/Full-time: Bournemouth/Bournemouth
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Venue: Villa Park | Start: 04:30

Aston Villa: Villa haven’t had a great season thus far, sitting 19th with just 25 points. They had an awful result last time out, falling 4-0 away at Leicester. They’ve been slightly better at home this season, securing 17 points from 13 games.

Chelsea: Chelsea have had a decent season so far, sitting in 4th place with 48 points. They had a great result last time out, thumping Everton 4-0 at home. Their away form has been stellar all season, sitting 3rd in the form table with 24 points from 14 games.

Analysis: Villa will be fighting hard here as they battle relegation, but Chelsea will also be looking to maintain their top 4 spot. I’m expecting a hard-fought win for the Blues here, ultimately settling on a final scoreline of 2-1. Chelsea by exactly 1 goal is a decent bet, as is BTTS.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Monday, March 16

West Ham vs Wolves

Venue: London Stadium | Start: 01:00

West Ham: West Ham have struggled this season, sitting in 16th place with 27 points. They suffered another defeat last time out, falling 1-0 away at Arsenal. They’ve not been great at home this season, now 18th in the form table with 15 points.

Wolves: Wolves are having another solid campaign, sitting in 6th place with 43 points. They had a disappointing result last time out, getting held to a 0-0 at home to Brighton. They’ve been stellar on the road this season, sitting 5th in the form table with 21 points.

Analysis: Wolves have struggled off the back of Europa League matches this season and they’ve got another one this week. West Ham will certainly be hungry in their relegation battle and I can see them getting a result here. I’ll say 1-1 in a relatively even affair, with both sides getting on the score sheet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: West Ham/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Tottenham vs Man Utd

Venue: London Stadium | Start: 03:30

Tottenham: Spurs just haven’t been good this season, now sitting in 8th with just 41 points. They had another poor result last time out, dropping 2 points away at Burnley. They’ve been a much better outfit at home, securing 26 points from 14 games thus far.

Man United: United now find themselves in 5th, just 3 points behind Chelsea with 45. They had a strong result last time out, beating City 2-0 at home. Their road form is good but not great, with 16 points from their first 14 games.

Analysis: Spurs have been good at home this season and they should be very motivated for this one. This is also a revenge game for Mourinho and a potential fatigue spot for United after the Europa League. I think that Spurs get the job done here, winning a relatively comfortably 2-0.

Head to Head: Spurs
Half-time/Full-time: Spurs/Spurs
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Tuesday, March 17

Everton vs Liverpool

Venue: Goodison Park | Start: 07:00

Everton: Everton have had an indifferent campaign so far, sitting in 12th place with 37 points. They were dreadful last time out, falling 4-0 away at Chelsea. They tend to perform better at home, having picked up 25 points from 14 games thus far.

Liverpool: Liverpool continue to enjoy a strong campaign, sitting in 1st with 82 points. They managed another win last time out, taking care of Bournemouth 2-1 at home. They’ve fared well on the road thus far, only dropping points in 2 of 14 games.

Analysis: Everton should be well up for this game in prime time, but Liverpool still have a major talent edge. I think they get back on track with a win here, likely by a one goal margin. I’ll predict a 2-1 final, meaning that BTTS and over 2.5 are both still in play.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes