AFL Betting Stats

The AFL is finally back, with a shorter season, shorter quarters, hubs and a rolling fixture making for a very different looking 2020 season.

Round 2 kicks off on Thursday evening, 81 days after the season was postponed during Round 1 due to the coronavirus outbreak.

Richmond and Collingwood re-open the season in a genuine blockbuster and to help punters navigate a season unlike any other, Punt Sports is today launching the Tuesday Cheat Sheet, designed to give you an edge when it comes to having a bet on the footy.

Tuesday is the day when punters look forward, having digested the weekend’s results and headlines, in an attempt to find early value in the markets.

And we will be back each Tuesday to try and give you a steer on what to expect in the weekend’s footy.

Adelaide Crows

This Week’s opponents are Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday, 7.40pm AEST

  • The Crows have won seven of the past nine Showdown clashes but did lose to their cross-town rivals by 57 points in Round 16 last year
  • Adelaide has lost six of its last seven matches, with a three-point defeat at home to Sydney in Round 1 a disappointing start to life under new coach Matthew Nicks
  • Midfield star Matt Crouch was quiet in Round 1, winning just 18 possessions, his lowest disposal count since Round 2 2018, although it is important to note the Round 1 match was played with 16-minute quarters – plus time on – as all 2020 fixtures will be

Brisbane Lions

This week opponents are Fremantle at Gabba, Saturday, 1.45pm AEST

  • Brisbane finished second in the 2019 home-and-away season but has lost its last four matches, including a Round 1 defeat to Hawthorn by 28 points
  • The Lions don’t have a good record against the Dockers in recent times, either, losing 10 of their last 12 against Fremantle
  • Ex-Docker Lachie Neale averaged 30.92 disposals per match in 2019 since crossing to Brisbane and finished third in the Brownlow Medal

Carlton Blues

This week opponents are Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Saturday, 4.35pm AEST

  • The Blues have been beaten by Melbourne in their last four meetings
  • Mitch McGovern hit the post with nine seconds to go the last time these two sides met, ensuring Carlton lost by five points – and did not get a draw – in Round 16 last year
  • No.1 ruckman Matt Kreuzer (foot) is sidelined, while Charlie Curnow (knee) will also sit out

Collingwood Magpies

This week opponents are Richmond at MCG, Thursday, 7.40pm AEST

  • The Magpies beat Richmond in a famous 2018 preliminary final but have only won three of their last 10 matches against the Tigers
  • Adam Treloar (calf) will not play, a huge blow given he averages 32 disposals per match against Richmond as a Magpie
  • Collingwood was scintillating in Round 1, thrashing the Bulldogs by 52 points

Essendon Bombers

This week opponents are Sydney at SCG, Sunday, 3.35pm AEST

  • Essendon has not won at the SCG since 2009, losing its last seven matches at the venue by an average of 32 points
  • Dylan Shiel was huge in Round 1 for the Bombers, winning 35 disposals, more than any other player across the competition
  • Captain Dyson Heppell (foot) will undergo a fitness test but Joe Daniher (groin), Orazio Fantasia (groin) and Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (ankle) all seem set to miss

Fremantle Dockers

This week opponents are Brisbane at Gabba, Saturday, 1.45pm AEST

  • The Dockers upset Brisbane last year, winning by one point in Round 10
  • Nat Fyfe won the Brownlow Medal in 2019 but his disposals per game average of 20.40 against Brisbane throughout his career is his worst against any side
  • Betting on the margin? Six of the last eight meetings between these two sides have been won by 40 points or more

Geelong Cats

This week opponents Hawthorn at GMHBA Stadium, Friday, 7.50pm AEST

  • The Cats famously won 11 matches in a row against Hawthorn after losing to the Hawks in the 2008 grand final, but Chris Scott’s side have won just six of their last 14 against the Hawks
  • Patrick Dangerfield regularly stars against the Hawks and averages 31.25 disposals per match against them as a Cat
  • Only two matches between these sides have been won by 39 points or more since…2006.

Gold Coast Suns

This week opponents are West Coast at Metricon Stadium, Saturday, 7.40pm AEST

  • The Suns have beaten West Coast just once in their history, in Round 11 2017
  • Gold Coast won three in a row from Round 2 to Round 4 last year but have lost the 19 games since by an average margin of 49 points
  • Gold Coast kicked just four goals in a Round 1 loss to Port Adelaide by 47 points, its lowest score since June 2018

Greater Western Sydney Giants

This week opponents are North Melbourne at Giants Stadium, Sunday, 1.05pm AEST

  • The Giants have not hosted North Melbourne since 2016 in a quirk of the fixture
  • The last three meetings between the two sides have been in Tasmania, with GWS winning two, including a 23-point triumph in last year’s encounter
  • Of GWS’ last nine wins at home, just one has been by under 25 points

Hawthorn Hawks

This week opponents are Geelong at GMHBA Stadium, Friday, 7.50pm AEST

  • The Hawks have not played at GMHBA Stadium since 2006 but have won nine of their last 12 at the venue
  • Tom Mitchell averages 36 disposals and a goal per game as a Hawthorn player against Geelong
  • Midfielder Jaeger O’Meara will be given until the last minute to prove his fitness after receiving a forehead fracture

Melbourne Demons

This week opponents are Carlton at MCG, Saturday, 4.35pm AEST

  • The Demons have not won since they beat Carlton in Round 16 last year by five points
  • Max Gawn should dominate the ruck with Carlton big man Matt Kreuzer injured, while Melbourne forward Tom McDonald has kicked 14 goals in his last three matches against Carlton
  • Jack Viney (34) and Ed Langdon (31) were just two of the six players in Round 1 to win 30 disposals or more

North Melbourne Kangaroos

This week opponents are Greater Western Sydney at Giants Stadium, Sunday, 1.05pm AEST

  • The Kangaroos overturned a 29-point deficit at half time to beat St Kilda by two points in Round 1
  • GWS forward Jeremy Cameron won last year’s Coleman Medal with 76 goals but he has kicked just 12 majors against North Melbourne in his career
  • North’s injury list is big, with Taylor Garner (hamstring), Kayne Turner (foot), Majak Daw (pectoral) all sidelined. Marley Williams is suspended for this, too

Port Adelaide Power

This week opponents are Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday, 7.40pm AEST

  • The Power sits on top of the ladder after a 47-point win over Gold Coast in Round 1
  • Robbie Gray is in doubt with a toe injury and the Power star has a history of dominating these clashes, winning five Showdown medals, for best afield, in his career
  • Tom Rockliff averages 32 disposals in the Showdown

Richmond Tigers

This week opponents are Collingwood at MCG, Thursday, 7.40pm AEST

  • Key forward Tom Lynch kicked eight goals in two matches against Collingwood last year
  • Dustin Martin had 38 disposals against Collingwood in Round 19 last year, ending a run of three successive matches where he failed to get 20 disposals against the Magpies
  • Bachar Houli (calf) will need to pass a test to play

St Kilda Saints

This week opponents are Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, Sunday, 6.05pm AEST

  • St Kilda fizzled out in Round 1, giving up a big lead to lose a thriller to North Melbourne
  • The Saints did upset the Dogs in Round 18 last year, though, Jack Lonie and Tim Membrey kicking four goals each in a 27-point win
  • St Kilda need to work harder to stop Bulldogs midfielder Josh Dunkley, who won 38 and 33 disposals in two matches against the Saints last year

Sydney Swans

This week opponents are Essendon at SCG, Sunday, 3.35pm AEST

  • Both meetings against the Bombers were close last year, Sydney winning by five points in Round 8 before Essendon triumphed by 10 points at the MCG in Round 16
  • Lance Franklin (hamstring) and Sam Reid (calf) are sidelined for Sydney
  • Isaac Heeney will likely play forward again given Sydney’s injuries and the fact he kicked four goals in a terrific showing against Adelaide in Round 1

West Coast Eagles

This week opponents are Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium, Saturday, 7.40pm AEST

  • Four of West Coast’s last five wins against the Suns have been by 52 points or more
  • Key forward Josh Kennedy has kicked 42 goals in nine career matches against Gold Coast
  • Eagles midfielder Andrew Gaff has won at least 27 disposals in each of his last 24 matches

Western Bulldogs

This week opponents are St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Sunday, 6.05pm AEST

  • After plenty of pre-season hype following the arrival of some handy recruits, the Dogs kicked just five goals and were thumped by Collingwood in Round 1
  • Tom Liberatore should return from a knee complaint to give the Bulldogs some much-needed bite in midfield
  • The Bulldogs just have the edge on St Kilda, winning six of the last 10 meetings