Premier League Betting Tips

The EPL returns this Saturday for another staggered round that sees 10 fixtures played over 6 days. We kick off in Aston Villa on Saturday night for a clash between Wolves and Villa that could prove crucial at both ends of the table. The two final matches of the round also look very appealing, with Tottenham travelling to Sheffield United and City playing host to Liverpool. We’ll preview all 10 games below, providing our best bets for each.

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Premier League Tips – Saturday 27 June

Aston Villa vs Wolves

Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham | Start: 9:30 PM

Wolves open as strong $1.80 favourites in this clash, with Villa at $5 and the draw at $3.60.

Both of these sides have a lot to play for, with Wolves just outside the top 4 and Villa firmly in the relegation battle. Villa did manage an away point at Aston Villa last time out, but a win would be vital here with a very tough schedule remaining.

Wolves appear to have hit the ground running since the return, earning two consecutive clean sheet victories. Villa have performed significantly better at home this season, although the advantage will be significantly reduced without fans.

Nevertheless, I think they’ll come out very motivated here and claim a result from this game. The draw at $3.60 seems like decent value, with Villa +1 also looking like a tempting bet. I don’t see a high-scoring affair playing out here, with 0-0 and 1-1 looking like strong value in the correct score market.

With this in mind, I’ll combine under 2.5 goals with the draw as my two best bets here.

 

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Monday 29 June

Watford vs Southampton

Venue: Vicarage Road, Watford | Start: 1:30 AM

Watford open this clash as $2.50 home favourites, with Southampton $2.88 outsiders and $3.30 on offer for the draw.

The Hornets do have a lot to play for here, sitting just one point above the relegation zone in 16th place. Things don’t appear to be as urgent for the Saints, who are 9 points ahead of their opponents and look comfortably safe.

Watford returned from the break with a decent 1-1 draw at home to Leicester, before falling to an injury-ridden Burnley side last time out. Contrast that with Southampton, who started with an impressive 3-0 win over Norwich, before falling 2-0 to Arsenal last time out.

With these two sides very evenly matched, I think Watford’s higher motivation and the suspension to Jack Stephens gives the Hornets the edge here.

$2.50 looks like very strong value in the straight up win market, so much so that I’d avoid the handicap for this one. I can see this one being a game with a few goals in it, with 2-1 Watford being my final scoreline.

Over 2.5 is a strong supplementary bet, especially if you can get plus money.

 

Head to Head: Watford
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Watford
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Tuesday 30 June

Crystal Palace vs Burnley

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 5:00 AM

Crystal Palace open as $2.30 favourites in this one, with the draw at $3.20 and Burnley outsiders at $3.40.

Palace had a good 2-0 win over Bournemouth in their return to action, but were spanked 4-0 by Liverpool last time out. Burnley copped a 5-0 hiding against City in their return to play, but managed an impressive 1-0 win over Watford on Friday.

Both sides appear to have an outside shot at European football and look set to be safe having crossed the 40-point barrier. Despite managing a win last time out, Burnley’s squad has been ridden by injuries and contract disputes.

I expect Palace to put out the more talented side on Tuesday, meaning the $2.30 currently on offer is great value. Burnley should struggle to score here, meaning a clean sheet victory is also very much in play.

I’ll ultimately go 2-0 Palace as my final score, lining up with Palace -1 in the handicap and under 2.5 total goals.

 

Head to Head: Crystal Palace
Half-time/Full-time: Palace/Palace
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Premier League Tips – Wednesday 1 July

Brighton vs Man United

Venue: Amex Stadium, Falmer | Start: 5:15 AM

United open as relatively comfortable $1.72 favourites here, with the draw coming in at $3.60 and Brighton $5 outsiders. United are in the thick of the European football mix, currently 5 points behind Chelsea in 4th.

Brighton appear very likely to be safe, although they’ll need a couple more wins to reach the elusive 40-point barrier. They’ve looked relatively impressive since returning, managing 4 points out of a possible 6 against Arsenal and Leicester.

United have also secured 4 points out of a possible 6, including a thumping 3-0 win over Sheffield United last time out. Fatigue may be an issue here, with this shaping up to be their third competitive game in 6 days.

With that in mind, I don’t mind the draw here coming in at a lucrative $3.60. Brighton will be well up for this one and the +1 handicap also looks like solid value.

I’ll predict a final scoreline of 1-1, with under 2.5 total goals also looking like decent odds.

 

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Thursday 2 July

Everton vs Leicester

Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool | Start: 3:00 AM

Everton open as narrow $2.63 favourites here, with Leicester at $2.80 and the draw at $3.30.

The Toffees appear set for another mid-table season in 12th position, while Leicester are likely to make the Champions League in 3rd. Everton have taken 4 points from 6 since the return, drawing at home to Liverpool before winning 1-0 at Norwich last time out.

It hasn’t been as easy for Leicester since the return, managing consecutive draws against Watford and Brighton. Considering the Foxes have significantly more to play for, I think they ultimately get the job done here.

$2.80 looks like decent value in what is essentially a neutral fixture and I see them getting back into the swing of things. I anticipate it being a very competitive fixture, with 1 goal the likely margin of victory.

I’ll ultimately predict 2-1 as my final scoreline, with BTTS and over 2.5 goals solid additional options.

 

Head To Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Leicester
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Bournemouth vs Newcastle

Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth | Start: 3:00 AM

Bournemouth open as $2.40 home favourites here, with the Draw at $3.10 and Newcastle out at $3.25.

The Cherries have had a rather poor season to date, currently in the relegation zone with just 27 points. Newcastle have exceeded expectations with Steve Bruce at the helm, currently occupying 13th place and sitting 12 points above the drop.

Bournemouth have struggled big time since the return to play, incurring scoreless defeats against both Crystal Palace and Wolves. Newcastle have continued their relatively solid play thus far, managing 4 points from 2 games against Sheffield United and Aston Villa.

Although it goes completely against current form, I see some line value on Bournemouth at $2.40 here. They have a lot to play for in this one, with Newcastle also likely more fatigued from their F.A Cup tie with City.

The Cherries have struggled to get on the score sheet of late, but I think they’ll do just enough here en route to a 1-0 win.

I also like under 2.5 on the total side and the Bournemouth half-time/full-time double.

 

Head to Head: Bournemouth
Half-time/Full-time: Bournemouth/Bournemouth
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Scores: No

Arsenal vs Norwich

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London | Start: 3:00 AM

Arsenal open as the commanding $1.50 favourites here, with the draw coming in at $4.50 and Norwich way out at $6.50.

The Gunners appear likely to miss European football next season, currently occupying 9th place with 43 points. It seems very likely that Norwich will be playing Championship football next season, sitting at the foot of the table with just 21 points.

The Gunners returned to action with consecutive defeats against City and Brighton, although they did manage a 2-0 win over Southampton last time out. Poor form has continued for Norwich, who’ve endured scoreless home defeats to both Southampton and Everton.

I think Arsenal are the only side with something to play for here and they should be able to carve open the Norwich defence. A 3-0 Arsenal win is my projected scoreline, making the current handicap look like good value.

I also like Arsenal to win to nil and the Arsenal half-time/full-time double in what should be a one-sided affair.

 

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

West Ham vs Chelsea

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 5:15 AM

Chelsea are $1.62 ‘road’ favourites in this one, with the draw at $4.33 and West Ham out at $5.

The Blues look set for Champions League football next season, currently in 4th place with 54 points. West Ham have had a rather poor season and sit just outside the relegation zone in 17th.

Chelsea have looked strong since the return to play, registering consecutive 2-1 wins over Aston Villa and Man City. Things haven’t been as good over at West Ham, who’ve suffered 2-0 defeats against both Wolves and Tottenham.

Both sides have a lot to play for here, so I’m going to side with the talent advantage of Chelsea. They’ve looked very convincing of late and appear to have picked up right where they left off.

I think another 2-1 Chelsea win is on the cards here, meaning that over 2.5 and BTTS are both in play.

Given the current odds, I’d veer off the handicap and HT/FT markets in this one.

 

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Friday 3 July

Sheffield United vs Tottenham

Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield | Start: 3:00 AM

Sheffield United are $3.75 underdogs here, with Tottenham at $2 and the Draw at $3.50.

The Blades have had a solid first season back in the Premier League, occupying 8th spot with 44 points. Spurs sit just one spot above them in 7th and have a lot to play for down the stretch.

It hasn’t been the prettiest return to action for Sheffield United, who’ve managed 1 point from a possible 9 and suffered consecutive 3-0 defeats. Spurs have had a decent return to action, drawing 1-1 with United and beating West Ham 2-0 last time out.

Not only are Spurs the more talented side here, but I think the long break has really disrupted Sheffield United’s momentum. As such, I’m picking a road win for Tottenham here with a final score of 2-0.

Spurs -1 also looks like good value, as does under 2.5 goals and ‘no’ in the BTTS market.

 

Head to Head: Tottenham
Half-time/Full-time: Tottenham/Tottenham
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

Manchester City vs Liverpool

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester | Start: 5:15 AM

City open as $2.20 favourites here, with Liverpool at $3.30 and the Draw at $3.60.

The Blues won by a combined 8-0 scoreline in their first two fixtures after the break, before falling 2-1 to Chelsea last time out. Liverpool had a surprise draw against Everton in their return to play, backed up with a 4-0 win over Crystal Palace last time out.

Neither side has much to play for here, with both locked in to their place in the top 2. City could be slightly more fatigued with their extra league and F.A Cup match and the Aguero injury is also a big one.

Having officially won the league, Liverpool could conceivably drop a level here at a place they’ve struggled at the last two seasons. I think these factors will cancel themselves out in a match that ultimately ends up as a draw, currently at a lucrative $3.60 price point.

I’d put 1-1 as the most likely correct scoreline, also providing solid value at $7.50 odds. I can see both sides getting on the score sheet here, with the arbitrage opportunity of under 2.5 goals also in play.

 

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes