Premier League Betting Tips

The Premier League returns this Wednesday for another action-packed round of 10 fixtures. Arsenal vs Leicester looks like the match of the round, with both sides playing for European football next season. Man United vs Aston Villa provides some strong competition, with the result likely to have major implications at both ends of the table. We’ll go through all 10 games on the slate this weekend, providing our best betting tips for each.

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Premier League Tips – Wednesday 8 July

Crystal Palace v Chelsea

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 3:00 AM

Chelsea open as convincing $1.45 road favourites here, with the Draw at $4.50 and Crystal Palace out at $7.50. The Blues have been in solid form of late and sit in 4th place with 57 points.

They had a minor blip with a loss to West Ham last midweek but bounced back nicely with a 3-0 win over Watford. Crystal Palace seems fairly safe in mid-table, sitting in 14th spot with 42 points.

Their form hasn’t been great since the return to play, suffering convincing defeats against Burnley and Leicester. This is another game where there is seemingly only one side with anything to play for. With the talent and motivational edge here, I think Chelsea take all 3 points in this one.

I’ll predict a final scoreline of 2-1, with BTTS and over 2.5 goals also in play.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Watford v Norwich

Venue: Vicarage Road, Watford | Start: 3:00 AM

Watford enters this clash as the strong $1.62 favourites, with the Draw at $3.75 and Norwich at $5.50. The Hornets have been poor for most of the season and sit just 1 point above relegation in 17th.

Their recent results have been particularly uninspiring, including a 3-0 thumping by Chelsea last time out. Norwich appears to have given up hope and sit firmly in the last place.

They are yet to pick up a point since the restart, capped off by a home loss to Brighton last time out. Watford is the only side of the two seemingly playing for anything, so I’d expect them to get the job done here.

The current price isn’t particularly great, but I’ll give a 2-0 scorecast prediction for extra value.

Head to Head: Watford
Half-time/Full-time: Watford/Watford
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Arsenal v Leicester

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London | Start: 5:15 AM

Arsenal are narrow $2.40 favourites here, with Leicester at $3 and the Draw a $3.50.

It hasn’t been a great return to play for the Gunners, but they do sit in the mix with 49 points in 7th place. They had a huge win against Wolves last time out, really bringing them closer to the top 6.

Leicester are clinging to a top 4 spot, currently occupying 3rd with 58 points. They had a much-needed win last time out, dispatching of Crystal Palace 3-0. Both sides should be rather motivated here and there isn’t a lot to split them talent-wise.

For that reason, I think the draw at $3.50 represents the best value on the board here. The trusty 1-1 looks like a good scorecast option, which could combine nicely with BTTS.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Leicester/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Thursday 9 July

Man City v Newcastle

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester | Start: 3:00 AM

City open as convincing $1.12 favourites here, with the Draw at $9.50 and Newcastle way out at $23. It has been a rather mixed season for the Blues, who appear to have all but locked up 2nd place.

They spanked Liverpool 4-0 last Friday, but backed it up with a relatively poor loss away at Southampton. Newcastle are officially mathematically safe, sitting in 12th with 43 points.

They’ve churned out some decent results of late, beating Bournemouth 4-1 and picking up a draw at West Ham. Neither side has much to play for in this one, which makes it a relatively difficult game to handicap.

I’d expect City to bounce back from their defeat last time out, but don’t see huge value in the $1.12 on offer. I like 3-1 City as a potential scoreline play, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS being decent supplemental bets.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: City/City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Sheffield Utd v Wolves

Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield | Start: 3:00 AM

Wolves open this one as $2.10 favourites, with the Draw at $3.10 and Sheffield United out at $4. Wolves look set for another berth in Europe next season, currently occupying 6th place with 52 points.

They were uncharacteristically poor last time out, falling 2-0 at home to Arsenal. Sheffield United sit 4 points behind them in 8th place and still have an outside shot at European football.

Their results appear to have picked up of late, with the highlight being a 3-1 win over Tottenham on Friday. There isn’t too much distance between these two sides and I’d anticipate a relatively cagey affair here.

The Draw at $3.10 sticks out as some early value, with 1-1 being a particularly good scorecast bet. I’d take under 2.5 goals in this one, coupled with the potential arbitrage opportunity of BTTS.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

West Ham v Burnley

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 3:00 AM

West Ham opens as $2 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.40 and Burnley out at $3.75. The Hammers have had a disappointing season, currently sitting in 16th with just 31 points.

They’ve had some decent results of late, especially their win over Chelsea last week. Burnley have had another stellar campaign and sit firmly mid-table with 46 points. They’ve been in some very strong recent form, picking up 7 points from their last 3 games against Burnley, Palace, and Sheffield United.

On paper, these are two evenly matched sides that should make for a competitive game. The fact that West Ham is playing for much higher stakes ultimately tilts the advantage in their favour here. I’ll say 2-0 to the Hammers in this one, with under 2.5 goals a decent complimentary option.

Head to Head: West Ham
Half-time/Full-time: West Ham/West Ham
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Brighton v Liverpool

Venue: Amex Stadium, Falmer | Start: 5:15 AM

Liverpool opens this clash as $1.53 favourites, with the Draw at $4.20 and Brighton out at $6.50. The Reds appear to have gotten back on track, recording a comfortable 2-0 home win over Villa last time out.

The job hasn’t been done yet in Brighton, with the Seagulls currently in 15th on 36 points. They picked up 3 very crucial points last time out, taking care of Norwich 1-0 at home.

I wouldn’t expect an overly intense match here, but I can still see it being close nonetheless. I expect Liverpool to pick up all 3 points in this one and will predict a final scoreline of 2-1. Over 2.5 goals offer some solid early value, as does BTTS.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Friday 10 July

Bournemouth v Spurs

Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth | Start: 3:00 AM

Spurs enter this clash as strong $1.67 favourites, with the Draw at $4 and Bournemouth at $5. It has been a relatively poor season for Spurs, although they remain just 4 points off European football.

They had a much-needed victory last time out, narrowly taking care of Everton 1-0. Bournemouth has also struggled mightily this season and currently sit 19th with just 27 points. They endured another poor defeat last time out, where they were dispatched 5-2 by United.

Both sides do have a lot to play for here and I can see this being one of the better matches of the round as a result. Spurs just haven’t been good lately and I believe Bournemouth have a great shot at a result here.

I particularly like Bournemouth +1 at plus money, with the Draw at $4 looking like the best of the main options. $8 for 1-1 also looks like strong value in the correct score market. I’d avoid the total markets in this clash, although I lean slightly to under 2.5 at plus money.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Everton v Southampton

Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool | Start: 3:00 AM

Everton opens as $2.10 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.50 and Southampton at $3.60. The Toffees have had another mixed campaign, but sit comfortably mid-table with 44 points.

They suffered another defeat last time out, falling 1-0 to Spurs in a game that really lacked urgency. Southampton is in a similar spot in the table, sitting 1 point behind Everton in 13th.

The Saints enter this clash buoyed after one of their best results this season, beating Man City 1-0. Neither side has much to play for here and it’ll be interesting to see whether they’re at full strength.

I’d lean towards Everton here, but the Draw at $3.50 is too much value to pass up. A 1-1 scoreline is very plausible, meaning that BTTS and under 2.5 goals are both also in play.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Southampton/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No

Aston Villa v Man Utd

Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham | Start: 5:15 AM

United open as overwhelming $1.30 favourites here, with the Draw at $5.50 and Aston Villa out at $10.mThe Reds have looked rather convincing of late, moving up to 5th place with 55 points.

They had another positive result last time out, a strong 5-2 win over Bournemouth. Villa has struggled in their first season back in the EPL, currently sitting 18th with just 27 points.

They fought valiantly last time out, but ultimately lost 2-0 away at Liverpool. Both sides have something to play for here and I’d expect this to be a rather competitive affair.

Villa just hasn’t been prolific in front of goal lately, so I’ll give the edge to United here. The $1.30 on offer isn’t great value, but 2-1 in the correct score market and half-time/full-time double are decent alternatives.

Head to Head: United
Half-time/Full-time: United/United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes