Premier League Betting Tips

The Premier League action continues this week with another slate of mid-week fixtures. Arsenal vs Liverpool on Thursday morning looks like the match of the round, with Leicester vs Sheffield United as a close second. With Man City being exonerated from their potential Champions League ban, the fight for the top 4 becomes even more important. We’ll preview all 10 games on the slate, providing our best bets for each.

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Premier League Tips – Wednesday 15 July

Chelsea v Norwich

Venue: Stamford Bridge, London | Start: 5:15 AM

Chelsea open as the very convincing $1.14 favourites here, with the Draw at $9.50 and Norwich out at $21. The Blues are in the driver’s seat for a top 4 spot, currently in 3rd on 60 points.

They suffered a shock defeat last time out, falling 3-0 away at Sheffield United. I wouldn’t expect them to face much resistance here in the form of Norwich, who have already confirmed their relegation.

The Canaries had another poor display last time out, falling 4-0 at home to West Ham. They’ve got just 21 points on the season and really don’t have anything to play for here. While the $1.14 on offer for Chelsea isn’t great value, I just can’t see them slipping up here.

I see a very professional win on the cards, likely by a scoreline of 3-0. For additional value, I like Chelsea half-time/full-time and Chelsea winning to nil.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: No

Premier League Tips – Thursday 16 July

Burnley v Wolves

Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley | Start: 3:00 AM

Wolves open as $1.91 road favourites here, with the Draw at $3.25 and Burnley out at $4.50. Wolves currently sit in 6th place on 55 points, 1 ahead of Sheffield United.

They had another very solid win last time out, taking care of Everton 3-0. Currently occupying the last Europa League spot for next season, they’ve got a ton to play for here.

Burnley have had another solid campaign and sit in 10th place with 50 points. They continued their strong run of form last time out, managing an away draw against Liverpool.

They seemingly don’t have much to play for here, likely too far out to make a European push. With that in mind, I like Wolves at $1.91 odds. I don’t expect it to be pretty, but I’ll ultimately predict a competitive 2-1 final. For additional value, over 2.5 and BTTS both look solid at current odds.

Head to Head: Wolves
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man City v Bournemouth

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester | Start: 3:00 AM

This is a bit of a reversal from some of the earlier fixtures, with a team at the bottom playing for huge stakes and the team at the top playing for pride.

City open as very commanding $1.14 favourites here, with the Draw at $8.50 and Bournemouth paying a cheeky $19. The Blues have been stellar since the return to play, cementing 2nd place with 72 total points. They were especially good last time out, thumping Brighton by a convincing 5-0 scoreline. Bournemouth find themselves in the midst of a relegation battle, currently 3 points off safety.

They had a crucial 4-1 win over Leicester last time out and will need more of the same if they want to survive. City does probably get the job done here, but the current odds make the Bournemouth side a decent play.

They are playing for far higher stakes here and City will likely have an eye on their F.A Cup semi. I like them +2 goals at $2.50 and can see value in both the Draw and outright Bournemouth markets. I’ll ultimately predict 2-2 here, with over 2.5 and BTTS decent supplemental bets.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Newcastle v Spurs

Venue: St. James’ Park, Newcastle | Start: 3:00 AM

Another relatively interesting clash here with only one side having anything tangible to play for. Spurs unsurprisingly open as $1.80 favourites, with the Draw at $3.60 and Newcastle out at $5.

Spurs currently sit 8th in the table on 52 points after a relatively disappointing season so far. They had something to cheer about last week though, coming from behind to beat Arsenal 2-1.

Newcastle has clinched their safety and occupy 13th place with 43 total points. Their form has noticeably dipped lately, however, including in a 2-1 loss to Watford last time out.

While Spurs aren’t the same side they used to be, I think the $1.80 on offer represents good value. I like them to win by a 2-goal margin here, with 2-0 and 3-1 the most likely scorecast outcomes. Additionally, the handicap of Spurs -1 looks like a solid supplementary bet.

Head to Head: Tottenham
Half-time/Full-time: Tottenham/Tottenham
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Arsenal v Liverpool

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London | Start: 5:15 AM

This is probably the match of the round on paper, although neither side has all that much to play for. Liverpool is $1.83 favourites here, with Arsenal at $4 and the Draw at $3.75.

The Reds have had a historic season, essentially locking up the title months ago. Their form has appeared to dip lately, only securing a point at home to Bournemouth last time out.

Arsenal has continued to struggle and now sit in 9th place with just 50 points. They enter this clash after what was an emotionally draining defeat against Spurs.

At current odds, I think that $3.75 for a Draw is rather generous. Liverpool has nothing tangible to play for, while Arsenal just hasn’t been reliable at all. I think 1-1 is the best option for a scorecast, with BTTS as a decent side bet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Friday 17 July

Everton v Aston Villa

Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool | Start: 3:00 AM

Another game with stakes on only one side here, with Everton safely mid-table and Villa battling relegation. Everton are $2 here, with the Draw at $3.60 and Aston Villa at $3.75. It has been another mediocre season for the Toffees, who currently sit 11th on 45 points. They had another poor result last time out, a toothless 3-0 defeat away at Wolves.

Villa are strong favourites to go down at this point, sitting in 19th and 4 points away from safety. They got a much-needed 2-0 win last time out, but it could prove to be too little too late.

Villa definitely have the motivation edge here, but I doubt their ability to put it together on the pitch. I see some value in the draw market here, especially in what I expect to be an unpredictable game. 1-1 also appears to be good value on the scorecast side, with the arbitrage opportunity of BTTS and under 2.5 also available.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Leicester v Sheffield Utd

Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester | Start: 3:00 AM

This looks like a very good match on paper, with both sides playing for rather large stakes here. Leicester find themselves at $2, with the Draw at $3.30 and Sheffield United out at $4. The Foxes currently hold a Champions League spot, sitting in 4th spot on goal difference.

They were uncharacteristically poor last time out, falling 4-1 away at a struggling Bournemouth side. Sheffield United have exceeded all expectations this season and find themselves 7th on 54 points.

They were especially good last time out, dispatching of Chelsea 3-0 in a marquee matchup. I expect a focused Leicester performance after last week’s blip and think they’re solid value at $2.

They absolutely need this win with a tough remaining schedule and I predict them to do so by a score of 2-1. I can see this being a free-flowing affair, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS both providing some appeal.

Head to Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Leicester/Leicester
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Crystal Palace v Man Utd

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 5:15 AM

Another match where only one side has something tangible to play for. United are the overwhelming $1.36 favourites, with the Draw at $5 and Palace all the way out at $10.

They currently sit in 5th place, just outside of the CL places on goal differences. They conceded a costly late goal against Southampton last time out, which resulted in a 2-2 draw.

Palace has seemingly been safe for weeks, now in 14th place on 42 points. Their recent form hasn’t been inspiring, including a 2-0 loss to lowly Villa last time out. I’m not sure $1.36 is great value, but it’s tough to predict anything other than a United win here.

They’ve got the talent and motivation edge and really should be able to win this comfortably. I’ll ultimately settle on 3-1 United in what could be a free-flowing affair. For supplemental bets, I like BTTS and over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: United
Half-time/Full-time: United/United
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes

Southampton v Brighton

Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton | Start: 5:15 AM

Southampton opens as $2.10 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.30 and Brighton out at $3.60. The Saints have had a solid second-half to the season and now sit in 12th place on 45 points.

They’ve been in good form of late, including picking up a last-minute equaliser against United last time out. Brighton hasn’t been great this season, but they still sit relatively safe in 15th with 36 points. Their recent form has been rather poor, especially in a 5-0 home defeat to Man City last time out.

Brighton is the only side with something to really play for here and I can see them coming away with a result. They look like good value at the +1 handicap, with the Draw at $3.30 my favoured outcome option. 1-1 is probably the best scorecast value on the board, which couples nicely with under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Brighton/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: Yes

Premier League Tips – Saturday 18 July

West Ham v Watford

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 5:00 AM

This is one of the more interesting clashes of the weekend, largely for its implications on the relegation battle. These two sides sit in 16th and 17th respectively, both on 34 points after 35 games.

Both sides enter this one after much-needed wins last weekend. Watford took care of business with a 2-1 win over Newcastle, while West Ham thumped lowly Norwich 4-0.

Both sides would love a win here, which would all but ensure safety for next season. I see this as a very cagey affair, with neither side looking to give much away.

West Ham is probably the slightly better of the two sides and I’ll take them for a narrow 1-0 win here. Under 2.5 goals represents strong value in my opinion, as does West Ham winning to nil.

Head to Head: West Ham
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/West Ham
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No