A-League Betting Tips

After what has been an eventful season to say the least, the final matchday of the 2019/20 EPL season is here. We’ve got a few key battles to watch this round, namely the fight for top 4 and to avoid relegation. Leicester vs Man United looks like the match of the round given the stakes, with Chelsea against Wolves a solid second. All 10 games will take place on Monday at 01:00 AEST and we’ll be providing our best bets for each.

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Premier League Tips – Monday 27 July

Arsenal v Watford

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London | Start: 1:00 AM

This has the makings of an interesting game, with Arsenal preparing for the F.A Cup Final and Watford looking to avoid relegation. The Gunners are instilled as $1.91 favourites here, with both Watford and the Draw out at $3.75.

Arsenal has had a very mixed league campaign, currently occupying 10th place with 53 points. They had another poor result last time out, falling 1-0 away to lowly Villa.

Watford now finds themselves in the bottom 3, 1 goal behind Villa in 18th place. They fired Nigel Pearson a week ago after a loss to West Ham, which they backed up with a poor 4-0 defeat to Man City. They’ve theoretically got the motivational edge here, but you have to wonder whether the players are fully invested.

I’ll take Arsenal to get the win here, with 2-1 as my projected final scoreline. I like the look of over 2.5 goals here, as well as BTTS in what could be a high-scoring one.

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Burnley v Brighton

Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley | Start: 1:00 AM

This is a bit of a dud game, with both sides having secured their spot in the league next season. Burnley have been stellar and in control for most of the campaign, set to enjoy a top 10 finish.

It has been more of a struggle for Brighton, but they are now mathematically safe in 16th place. Burnley are $2.40 favourites here, with Brighton at $3.10 and the Draw at $3.40. I’ll give the slight edge to the Clarets in this one, mainly because I’m not sure Brighton will be completely up to it.

They only ensured their safety after their point against Newcastle, and I’d imagine they enjoyed themselves throughout the week. Burnley have been safe for a number of weeks now, yet they’ve still managed to churn out consistently good results.

I’ll say 2-0 to Burnley here, with Burnley -1 and half-time/full-time also looking good.

Head to Head: Burnley
Half-time/Full-time: Burnley/Burnley
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

Chelsea v Wolves

Venue: Stamford Bridge, London | Start: 1:00 AM

This is another game with huge implications on both sides. If Chelsea can get a point here, they lock up a place in the Champions League next season.

If Wolves secure all three points, they lock up 6th place, which could place them in the Europa League group stage (depending on the F.A Cup winner). Chelsea opens as $1.83 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.75 and Wolves out at $4.33.

Ultimately, I think Chelsea are the more talented side and there shouldn’t be any motivational issues here. They were poor in a defeat to Liverpool last time out, but I’d expect them to secure all 3 points in this one.

It should be a rather competitive affair, and I’ll take them by a narrow 2-1 margin. I do see both sides getting on the score sheet here, with over 2.5 goals also looking rather appealing.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Crystal Palace v Spurs

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 1:00 AM

This is a clash where only one side has anything to play for. Palace has seemingly been on the beach for weeks now, currently sitting in 14th with 42 points.

Spurs have moved up to 7th with a string of decent results, including a 3-0 win over Leicester last time out. If they can better Wolves’ result this weekend, they’ll move up into the top 6.

That doesn’t necessarily mean European football, with that to be determined by the F.A Cup winner. Spurs are understandably rather strong favourites here, coming in at $1.57 compared to the $6 of Palace.

They’re the more talented and motivated side here and I’d expect them to cruise through relatively comfortably. I like the look of a 2-goal win here, with 2-0 and 3-1 the main scorecast options.

Head to Head: Spurs
Half-time/Full-time: Spurs/Spurs
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Everton v Bournemouth

Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool | Start: 1:00 AM

Another clash where only one side realistically has anything to play for. Everton sits comfortably mid-table in 11th and this match doesn’t appear to have any long-term implications.

Bournemouth is up against it in 19th place, but they can still mathematically stay up. They’ll need a win here, combined with losses to Watford and Aston Villa to stay up.

That multi currently comes out at $17.76, but stranger things have definitely happened. Everton hasn’t been a consistent side all season, while Bournemouth does appear to still be playing hard for Eddie Howe.

I think they represent decent value here at $3 and they do just enough to pick up all 3 points. 2-1 looks like a relatively likely scoreline, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS both firmly in play. Unfortunately for Bournemouth fans, I don’t expect this to be enough to keep them up.

Head to Head: Bournemouth
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Bournemouth
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Leicester v Man Utd

Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester | Start: 1:00 AM

As long as Chelsea can earn a point against Wolves, this matchup will decide who gets the final top 4 places. United open as slight $2.30 favourites here, with Leicester at $3.10 and the Draw at $3.50.

Leicester just hasn’t been good since the restart, with a series of poor results taking them down to 5th place. This was especially true last time out, where they suffered a crushing 3-0 defeat to an inconsistent Spurs side.

United have had a string of good results since the return to play, currently sitting in 3rd place, admittedly only a point ahead of Leicester. They’ve missed some crucial opportunities, however, especially in a 1-1 home draw to West Ham last time out.

I’ve got United as the slightly better side here and probably the deserved favourites. I think they do just enough to secure UCL qualification here, coming away with a 1-1 draw.

I’d expect a relatively cagey first-half here, with a potentially high-variance second half if Leicester is playing from behind. BTTS also looks like an appealing supplementary bet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Man City v Norwich

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester | Start: 1:00 AM

Another game with not a huge amount on the line. Norwich is certainties to go down with a very paltry points total of 21. Man City has had 2nd place secured for a while now and will likely set their sights on the Champions League.

The Blues open as overwhelming $1.08 favourites here, with the Draw at $13 and Norwich at $31. Norwich has been a complete disaster show since lockdown and I can’t recall the last time they picked up a single point.

Man City have looked generally good recently, putting on another masterclass against Watford last time out. This is their last runout before the Champions League against Madrid and I’d imagine they take this clash fairly seriously.

I’d say Norwich are due for another belting here, the only question is by how many goals. I’m going for another 4-0 win to City here, with over 2.5 goals very firmly in play.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Man City/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: No

Newcastle v Liverpool

Venue: St. James’ Park, Newcastle | Start: 1:00 AM

A quintessential nothing game, with neither side playing for anything here. Liverpool is commanding $1.36 favourites, with the Draw at $5 and Newcastle at $8.50.

While Liverpool has had a strong season, their relatively poor play since lockdown has cost them a shot at 100 points. Newcastle sits firmly safe in 13th place and better things could be on the horizon if the Saudi takeover goes through.

With no motivation edge on either side, I’ll take Liverpool’s talent advantage here. I think they win this one by 2 goals, with 3-1 a likely potential scoreline. I can see a high-scoring affair here, with over 2.5 and BTTS both providing some appeal.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

Southampton v Sheffield Utd

Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton | Start: 1:00 AM

Very similar to the match above. Both sides have had solid campaigns, but are locked into mid-table finishes. Southampton is rather strong $2.20 favourites here, with the Draw and Sheffield both at $3.40.

The Saints have had a string of decent results since lockdown, including an impressive 2-0 over Bournemouth last time out. Sheffield has faded somewhat of late, with consecutive goalless defeats to Spurs and Everton.

It’s hard to split these two sides and the Draw looks very good at $3.40. 1-1 is my projected scoreline here, providing even better value at $6.50. This looks like an opportunity for the ‘middle’ of under 2.5 combined with BTTS.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Southampton/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes

West Ham v Aston Villa

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 1:00 AM

Another interesting clash where only one side really has anything to play for. The Hammers sit rather comfortably in 15th, mathematically safe after their draw with United last time out.

Villa sits just outside the relegation zone on goal difference and will be looking for a result here. They had a clutch win last time out, securing a 1-0 result at home against Arsenal.

As long as they can better Watford’s result here, they’ll secure another season in the Premier League. I can see West Ham taking their foot off the gas a little, especially after ensuring safety last time out. All things considered, I expect Villa to stay up and secure all 3 points here.

1-0 seems like a fairly likely scoreline, as I’d expect them to be cagey if they do go ahead. With that in mind, under 2.5 goals and ‘no’ in the BTTS market offer some appeal on the side of the total.

Head to Head: Aston Villa
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Aston Villa
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No