To open us up for Super Rugby AU Week Five, we have the Force and the Rebels going head-to-head on Friday night, at Leichardt Oval. The Force are still reeling heavily from a heavy 24-0 loss to the Brumbies at the same venue, from the previous round. They played strong in parts, but overall gave up 4 tries to 0. Whilst they let in a try in just the 1st minute of the match. They are still seeking their first win of the campaign. As for Melbourne, they’re coming of a strong 29-10 win over NSW at the SCG. A game in which they were truly the dominant team and has left them as one of the form teams of AUS. It was also their opening victory of the campaign.
Then on Saturday night, facing of at GIO Stadium, it’s the Brumbies and the Reds. So it’s 1st vs 2nd on the ladder in what is sure to be a great spectacle of Rugby. The Brumbies put 24 points on the Force last weekened, while QLD put 31 on them, in their last game at Suncorp Stadium. If that’s not enough, the last time these two teams met, which was also in Canberra, the Brumbies prevailed 27 points to 24. This is bound to be a cracker!
Settle in, cause we’re in for another awesome round of Australian Rugby!
Super Rugby Tipping – Friday, July 31
Western Force vs Melbourne Rebels
Leichardt Oval | 7:05PM (AEST)
Western Force – The Force are 5th and last currently. They have just the 1 competition point next to their name and they have a -40 PD. Which is significantly the worse in the league. And to make matters worse, their last game was a 24 points to 0 thrashing at the hands of the Brumbies. They conceded a try within just the 1st minute of the match and then again only 4 minutes later. And in total, they leaked 4 tries to 0. Despite owning 44% possession of the ball, they ran for just 210m’s, compared to the Brumbies 450m’s. They also had only 98 carries of the ball, compared to the oppositions 138. They beat only 9 defenders and had 1 clean break. + They lost the ball 22 times throughout the match. Outside of that, they were forced into making 161 tackles and additionally they missed 33 tackle attempts. This was a disappointing showing for them, as previously they had pushed the Reds all the way in Brisbane in Week 4 of the competition, as they went down 31-24. They’ll be looking to rebound strongly here with a solid outing.
Melbourne Rebels – The Rebels are currently 3rd and just 4 points of 2nd, as they have a win, a draw and a loss to show from their first three outings of the campaign. They are on 6 points and have a PD of +11. Their season to date has been pretty decent for them. And last time out they showed it, as they pumped the Waratahs by 19 points in Sydney. They opened the scoring through a Toomua PG in just the 4th minute and from there, they went on strongly with the job. However, their first try didn’t come until Louwrens scored in the 37th minute. In total they scored 2 tries to 1 and ran for 527m’s. They beat 36 defenders and had 11 clean breaks. They made 9 offloads and turned the ball over only 12 times, in comparison to the oppositions 15. They also missed only 8 tackle attempts, in comparison to the oppositions 36 and they won 4 turnovers. This was a complete Rebels performance.
Melbourne have won 8 of the overall 11 contested clashes between these two sides. But with the exception of a 32-7 Force victory way back in 2014, the margins have always been close between the two Rugby underdogs. The past 3 clashes alone have seen the Force win 31-22, Melbourne win 27-22 and Melbourne win 25-19. + The match before that at AAMI Park in 2015, was 13-11 in favor of the Force. With the 31-22 affair, that was a clash that was played at HBF Park, the Force scored 4 tries to 3. It took just until the 7th minute of the game for Meakes to cross the line for the Force. Whilst Koroibete scored a double for Melbourne. Expect this match to be similar to those that have been contested in the past and for the Rebels to eventually come out on top, in what should be both a close and thrilling match of Australian Rugby.