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A-League Tipping – Thursday August 13
Newcastle Jets v Wellington Phoenix
Jubilee Stadium | 5:00 PM (AEST)
Wellington open as narrow $2.40 favourites here, with Newcastle at $2.75 and the Draw out at $3.75. The Phoenix have had a solid season to date, currently sitting in 3rd with 41 points. Their form since lockdown certainly hasn’t been the greatest, only managing 1 win in their last 5.
Newcastle has had a rather forgettable season, sitting 8th with 31 points and out of post-season contention. Their post lockdown form has been solid, especially in wins over Sydney FC and Western United. Neither side has much to play for here, although the Phoenix does have an outside shot to climb to second. Combine that with the talent advantage that they clearly possess and $2.40 for the outright win isn’t bad value.
I fancy them to get off to an early lead and hold on throughout, making the half-time/full-time double at $4 look extra appealing. A 1 or 2 goal win is the most likely outcome and I’ll lean towards the Handicap Draw (-1) at $4.33. The $9 on offer for 2-1 is the best value in the scorecast market, providing a few extra options on the totals side.
Over 2.5 at $1.66 is solid value, but the $1.53 for BTTS just isn’t enough in my opinion.