Premier League Betting Tips

After a truncated off-season, the English Premier League returns to action this weekend!

Both of the Manchester clubs have had their games postponed, but we’ve still got a strong 8 game slate on deck for week 1.

Liverpool vs Leeds looks like the standout fixture early on Sunday morning, while Spurs vs Everton promises to be competitive.

We’ll preview all 8 games on the slate this weekend, providing our best bets for each.

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Saturday September 12

Fullham v Arsenal

Venue: Craven Cottage, London | Start: 9:50pm

Arsenal open as rather strong $1.53 favourites here, with the Draw at $4.20 and Fulham out at $5.50.

The Gunners have looked relatively sharp in pre-season, comfortably beating MK Dons and winning the Community Shield. This built on some solid form post lockdown, where they ended up winning the FA Cup and finishing 8th in the League

They’re tipped by punters to have a better season this year, currently 5th favourite for the title. Fulham are back in the Premier League after a dramatic 2-1 win over Brentford in the playoff final.

They’ll want to avoid the same mistakes they made in 2018, where their defensive frailties led to relegation. I can’t help but think Arsenal are a little overvalued here and I don’t mind the look of Fulham +1 at $2.40.

They’ll be well up for this game at home in prime time and I think they can get at the Arsenal defence here. I don’t think they’ll pull out a win, but the Draw at $4.20 definitely seems like a feasible option.

A 1-1 result at $8.50 sticks out to me, with Draw/Draw at $6.50 looking like good value in the half-time/full-time market.

$1.80 also appears to be fairly strong value in the BTTS market.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Fulham +1
Anytime Goal: Aubameyang

Sunday September 13

Crystal Palace v Southampton

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 12:00am

Southampton open as $2.37 road favourites here, with both Crystal Palace and the Draw out at $3.10. The Saints had a solid end to last season, managing to finish in 11th place with 52 points.

Their pre-season appears to have been a bit disjointed, with no official games on record. Palace noticeably faded after lockdown, remaining firmly mid-table in 14th place.

They did have a much better pre-season, notching a trio of wins over Oxford, Charlton, and Millwall. Nothing major is expected out of either side this season, with pundits expecting them to both finish in the bottom half.

I think Palace are decent value to start out with a home win here at $3.10. These two teams are fairly evenly matched, but Palace had the better pre-season and start out with a slight home-field edge.

I’d still expect it to be relatively close, but 2-1 at $12 stands out as good scorecast value. Palace/Palace at $5.50 and Draw/Palace at $7.5 are two decent options in the half-time/full-time market.

The bookies aren’t expecting many goals here, but I don’t mind the look of over 2.5 goals at $2.20. BTTS also provides some early value at even money.

Head to Head: Crystal Palace
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Palace
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Palace +1
Anytime Goal: Jordan Ayew

Liverpool v Leeds United

Venue: Anfield, Liverpool | Start: 2:30am

Liverpool are the biggest favourites in the league this week, opening at $1.22, compared to $6 for the Draw and $10 for Leeds.

The Reds had a historic 2019-20 season, but appeared to fade down the stretch and missed that elusive 100-point barrier.

Their results in pre-season were mixed, drawing with Red Bull Salzburg and losing the Community Shield to Arsenal. They are currently 2nd favourites for the title and will be looking for a strong start here.

Leeds have strung together two very competitive seasons in the Championship and were rewarded with automatic promotion last time out. They have a very competent manager in Marcelo Bielsa and have invested heavily in the transfer market.

Punters are hugely confident in them this season, tipping them to not even sniff the relegation battle. I think they’ve got a very tough ask here in week 1 and would expect a 2-goal Liverpool victory.

A 2-0 result at $7 appears the most likely, but 3-1 at $10 is a decent value option. If we stick with the 2-0 prediction, under 2.5 goals looks like good value at a healthy $2.56 price.

I’ll also tip the Handicap Draw (Liverpool -2) at $3.75 and Liverpool to win to nil.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Draw (Liverpool by 2)
Anytime Goal: Sadio Mane

West Ham United v Newcastle United

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 5:00am

West Ham open as $2.10 home favourites here, with the Draw at $3.40 and Newcastle also out at $3.40.

The Hammers had a rather poor 2019-20 season and only narrowly achieved safety with 39 points. They’ve had some decent results throughout pre-season and will be expecting a much better campaign in 2020-21.

Almost all pundits had Newcastle nailed on for relegation last season, yet they defied expectations to finish 13th with 44 points.

They have had a bit of a disjointed off-season with all the talks of a Saudi takeover and we’ll have to see if that affects on-field performance.

I think West Ham are a better side than what they showed last season and don’t mind the look of them at $2.10. A narrow victory seems fairly likely here, with 2-1 at $9 my scorecast prediction.

In terms of the half-time/full-time market, Draw/West Ham at $5.50 looks like the best early option. I’ll pass on the 2.5 goals market but can see some early value in BTTS at $1.75.

The handicap draw (West Ham by 1) also looks like excellent value, currently paying out $3.75.

Head to Head: West Ham
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/West Ham
Over/Under 2.5: N/A
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Michael Antonio

West Bromwich Albion

Venue: Leicester City | Start: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

11:00pm

Head to Head: Leicester open as $1.91 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.60 and West Brom out at $4. The Foxes had a good last season overall, finishing in 5th place with 62 points.That said, they definitely choked down the stretch and should’ve made the top 4 given their pre-lockdown record. They’ve had relatively mixed pre-season results-wise and have also sold some key contributors.West Brom are back in the Premier League at the first time of asking, securing 2nd place in the competitive Championship last season. They’d probably be odds on to stay up given their relatively accomplished roster and manager.I’d probably look to fade Leicester in this one, with West Brom +1 looking like decent early value. I’m predicting a Draw at $3.60 here, with 1-1 at $7 the most likely scorecast option.In terms of the half-time/full-time market, I can see a little value in West Brom/Draw at a very healthy $15 price point.I’ll lean under 2.5 goals at evens here, but BTTS at $1.75 is a definite possibility.
Half-time/Full-time: West Brom/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: West Brom +1
Anytime Goal: Grady Diangana

Monday September 14

Tottenham Hotspurs v Everton

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London | Start: 1:30am

Spurs open as $1.83 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.50 and Everton out at $4.50. Both sides enter this one after disappointing 2019-20 campaigns, finishing 6th and 12th respectively.

There isn’t too much expected of Spurs this season, with almost every pundit projecting them to miss the top 4. They’ve made a couple of signings in the transfer window, but none that appear to put them over the top.

Everton have been in a rebuilding phase for a few seasons now, where they’ve largely been languishing mid-table. James Rodriguez sticks out as a flash signing, but I’m not sure he solves their two-way problems.

I think Spurs are a little undervalued in the current market and will take them to open with a home win here. I’ll project a 2 goal win here, with the -1 handicap at $3.30 looking like solid value.

Spurs/Spurs at $3 and Spurs to win to nil can be used as potential alternative bets. A 2-0 result at $9 sticks out as fairly plausible, especially with Mourinho’s defensive emphasis.

With that in mind, under 2.5 and ‘no’ in the BTTS market both offer some value at slightly plus money.

Head to Head: Spurs
Half-time/Full-time: Spurs/Spurs
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Spurs -1
Anytime Goal: Harry Kane

Tuesday September 15

Sheffield United v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield | Start: 3:00am

Wolves open as the slight $2.30 road favourites here, with the Draw at $2.88 and Sheffield United at $3.30. Both sides come off relatively strong top-half finishes, which they’ll be looking to build on in 2020/21.

Wolves have turned into Portugal-lite over the past 3 seasons, something which has really helped them climb the ranks. They’ve got an accomplished squad and will likely be even better this season without European football to worry about.

Sheffield United had an excellent first season in the Premier League, comfortably avoiding relegation and mounting a European challenge. They’ve got a competent manager in Chris Wilder and a hard-working and capable squad of players.

I do think they overachieved last season and don’t mind the look of Wolves here at $2.30. I’d expect a relatively competitive game, so Wolves by exactly 1 goal at $3.75 is worth a second look.

A 1-0 result at $6.50 seems fairly likely, but I’ll ultimately go 2-1 at $10 for a little extra scorecast value. This opens the door for BTTS and over 2.5 goals, but I’d personally look to pass on both markets here.

Head to Head: Wolves
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Wolves
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Diogo Jota

Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea

Venue: Amex Stadium, Falmer | Start: 5:15am

Chelsea open as $1.62 favourites, with the Draw at $4.20 and Brighton out at $5. The Blues had an ultimately solid 2019-20 campaign, winning 20 league games and securing 4th place.

They’ve invested heavily in the transfer market and are firmly expected by pundits to remain in the top 4. Brighton has been fighting the relegation battle for a few seasons now, yet they keep managing to stick around.

They finished 15th last season, but have had a bit of a mixed summer transfer window. While Chelsea’s new signings will take some time to bed in, I like them to open the season with a win here.

I can see this being an offensive game, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS both looking like solid options. I’ll ultimately predict a 2-1 scoreline here, currently paying out decent $8 odds.

Chelsea/Chelsea at $2.60 and Chelsea by 1 goal at $3.50 are decent additional options.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Neal Maupay