Premier League Betting Tips

The Premier League returns this weekend for the first full week of action this season.

Chelsea vs Liverpool looks like the clear match of the round, taking place early on Monday morning.

We’ve also got a very entertaining clash to finish the round, with Wolves playing host to Man City on Tuesday morning.

We’ll preview all 10 games on the slate this weekend, providing our best bets for each.

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Saturday, September 9

Everton v West Bromwich Albion

Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool | Start: 9:30 pm

Everton open as $1.50 home favourites here, with the Draw at $4.20 and West Brom out at $6. The Toffees had an excellent start to the season last time out, taking care of Tottenham in a 1-0 road win.

Things weren’t nearly as good for West Brom, who sit bottom of the table after a 3-0 home drubbing against Leicester. Given the display put forth by West Brom last week, it’s tough to look past Everton for the home win here.

I like them to cover the -1 handicap at $2.40 and even to win to nil at $2.50. I’ll keep it simple in the half-time/full-time market, taking the Everton/Everton option at $2.30. A 2-0 scoreline would meet both of the above criteria and looks like decent value at the current $7.50 odds.

With that in mind, under 2.5 goals at $2 and ‘no’ in the BTTS market at $1.83 also seem like good value.

Head to Head: Everton
Half-time/Full-time: Everton/Everton
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Everton -1
Anytime Goal: Richarlison

Sunday, September 20

Leeds United v Fulham

Venue: Elland Road, Leeds | Start: 12:00 pm

Leeds open as the convincing $1.57 home favourites here, with the Draw at $3.75 and Fulham out at $5.50. It was an entertaining return to the league for Leeds last time out, ultimately losing 4-3 to Liverpool.

Fulham looked awful in their season opener, getting dispatched 3-0 by Arsenal in the Saturday early game. Leeds are expected to be a comfortable mid-table side this season and I’d back them to get the win here. I think they take the lead early and don’t let go, with Leeds/Leeds at $2.50 sticking out amongst early markets.

A 2-1 scoreline looks fairly likely at $8 and would result in a handicap draw, currently paying $3.30. It would also result in over 2.5 goals at $1.92 and BTTS at decent $1.91 odds.

In terms of a goal scorer, I like Helder Costa to get on the scoresheet here at $4.

Head to Head: Leeds
Half-time/Full-time: Leeds/Leeds
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Helder Costa

Manchester United v Crystal Palace

Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester | Start: 2:30 pm

United finally get their season underway here, starting as $1.28 favourites, with the Draw at $5 and Palace at $10. Palace started their season very well last time out, securing a home win over Southampton despite being underdogs.

United have fairly high expectations this season, with most pundits considering them a lock for the top 4. Despite the win last week, the oddsmakers aren’t giving Palace much love, and I’m inclined to agree.

I like the look of United to win here, with United/United at $1.91 looking especially appealing. A 2-0 scoreline at $7 is the lowest priced option in the scorecast market and I see this as a fairly probable result. I don’t mind the look of under 2.5 goals, largely due to the value on offer with the $2.28 price point.

I’ll round this out with United -1 at $1.91 and ‘no’ in the BTTS market at $1.83.

Head to Head: United
Half-time/Full-time: United/United
Over/Under 2.5: Under
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: United -1
Anytime Goal: Rashford

Arsenal v West Ham United

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London | Start: 5:00 am

Arsenal open as strong $1.50 favourites here, with the Draw at $4.33 and West Ham out at $5.50. The Gunners sit at the top of the table after week 1, comfortably dispatching of Fulham 3-0.

It looked to be the same old story for the Hammers, who succumbed to a dreadful 2-0 defeat to Newcastle. West Ham could be in for a bit of trouble this season and I’d expect Arsenal to win comfortably here. In the half-time/full-time market, I don’t mind the look of either of Arsenal/Arsenal at $2.25 or Draw/Arsenal at $4.33.

I’ll opt for a 3-1 scoreline at $11, also meaning Arsenal would cover the -1 handicap at $2.40. Over 2.5 goals seems fairly probable at $1.60, as does BTTS at $1.67.

If I had to pick someone to score, I don’t mind the look of Lacazette at $1.91.

Head to Head: Arsenal
Half-time/Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Arsenal -1
Anytime Goal: Lacazette

Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur

Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton | Start: 9:00 pm

Tottenham open as $2.25 road favourites here, with Southampton at $3.10 and the Draw out at $3.25. Spurs had a poor start to the season last time out, falling 1-0 at home to Everton.

Southampton also didn’t start the season the right way, losing 1-0 away at Crystal Palace. I thought Southampton were a bit overvalued last week and continue to do so here, so I’ll take Spurs at $2.25. Considering this is likely to be a close one, I also like the look of Spurs by 1 goal at $4, with 2-1 at $10 sticking out on the scorecast.

I can see both sides having some good attacking opportunities, I’ll opt for over 2.5 goals at $1.97 here and for BTTS at $1.72. Harry Kane will likely get the best of these opportunities and looks decent value to score a goal at $2.20.

In the half-time/full-time market, I can see some early value on Draw/Spurs at $5.50.

Head to Head: Tottenham
Half-time/Full-time: Tottenham/Tottenham
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Kane

Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion

Venue: St. James’ Park, Newcastle | Start: 11:00 pm

Newcastle open as narrow $2.50 favourites in this one, with Brighton at $2.88 and the Draw out at $3. The Magpies had a great start to the season last time out, beating West Ham 2-0 to sit in the top 4. Brighton opened the season with a 3-1 defeat at home to Chelsea where some defensive frailties were exposed.

Both sides will probably be just above the drop zone this season and I don’t mind the look of the Draw at $3. A low scoring draw would be more likely and 1-1 at $6 fits the bill nicely, with Draw/Draw at $4.20 also a nice complimentary bet. I’d lean under 2.5 goals, but the $1.53 price tag doesn’t provide enough value to pull the trigger.

I can see both sides getting on the score sheet, which would provide a potential middle with under 2.5. On the goal scorer side of things, the best value play looks to be Neal Maupay as Brighton’s main attacking outlet at $2.80.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Brighton +1
Anytime Goal: Neal Maupay

Monday, September 21

Chelsea v Liverpool

Venue: Stamford Bridge, London | Start: 1:30 am

Liverpool open as fairly commanding $2.10 road favourites here, with Chelsea at $3.10 and the Draw out at $3.60. The Reds got off to a bit of a shaky start last time out, but multiple penalties helped them scrape over the line against Leeds.

Chelsea looked a bit more convincing in their win over Brighton and now sit 3rd in the table. I can see Chelsea getting a result at home here and don’t mind them with the +1 start. The Draw at $3.60 seems the best value for money, with 1-1 at $7.50 and 2-2 at $12 both solid scorecast options.

In terms of the half-time/full-time market, I like the look of Chelsea/Draw at a whopping $13. Both sides should get on the scoresheet in this one, but I’ll pass on the over/under 2.5 goals market.

Given Liverpool’s penchant for penalties, it’s tough to overlook Mo Salah at $2 to get on the scoresheet.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Pass
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Chelsea +1
Anytime Goal: Salah

Leicester City v Burnley

Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester | Start:

Leicester open as $1.57 home favourites here, with the Draw at $3.75 and Burnley out at $5.50. The Foxes had a great start to the season last weekend, cruising past West Brom en route to a 3-0 win. This will be the season opener for Burnley, who had their game with Manchester United postponed,

Considering we haven’t seen much from Burnley, I’m inclined to take the home favourites at $1.57 here. I’ll opt for a 2-0 scoreline at $8, meaning they should also cover the -1 handicap at $2.80.

Leicester/Leicester at $2.50 and Draw/Leicester at $4.33 both seem like decent options in the half-time/full-time market. I’ll opt for ‘no’ in the BTTS market at evens, coupled nicely with under 2.5 goals at $1.81.

Jamie Vardy started the season with a bang last weekend and $1.83 for him to get on the score sheet seems fair.

Head to Head: Leicester
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Leicester
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Leicester -1
Anytime Goal: Vardy

Tuesday, September 22

Aston Villa v Sheffield United

Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham | Start: 3:00 am

Both sides open as equal $2.70 ‘favourites’ for this one, with the Draw out at $3.10. Sheffield United started their season with a relatively poor 2 goal home loss to Wolves last time out.

Aston Villa will make their season debut here, after last week’s clash with Man City was postponed. I can see Villa having a better 2020-21 and would expect them to pick up a result here. They should cover the +1 handicap, but the current $1.45 odds aren’t necessarily great value.

I’ll opt for the Draw at $3.10, with 0-0 at $8.50 and 1-1 at $6 sticking out as the best options. Given the closeness of these two sides, I don’t mind the look of Draw/Draw at the current $4.50 odds. Under 2.5 goals at $1.65 does look like a decent option, and I’ll look to avoid the BTTS market.

If I had to pick one player most likely to score, Ollie McBurnie at $2.88 stick out as solid value.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: N/A
Anytime Goal: Ollie McBurnie

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City

Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton | Start: 5:15 am

City open as commanding $1.50 road favourites here, with the Draw at $4.33 and Wolves out at $6. Wolves got off to a very impressive start last week, earning a 2-0 road win away at Sheffield United. City are making their season debut here, having had their original week 1 game with Villa postponed.

Wolves could be very good this season, but it’s tough to overlook a City side that should be on the war path. I like the look of City to win by exactly 1 goal here, currently paying a generous $3.50 on the handicap draw. On the half-time/full-time side, I like either Draw/City or City/City, paying out $4.33 and $2.30 respectively.

A 2-1 scoreline at $8 seems the most likely to me, although 3-2 at $21 could be worth a value punt. I would expect both sides to score at $1.72 and lean towards over 2.5 goals at $1.62 odds.

With uncertainty surrounding Aguero’s fitness, I’ll take Sterling to get on the scoresheet at decent $2.25 odds.

Head to Head: City
Half-time/Full-time: City/City
Over/Under 2.5: Over
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Sterling