Premier League Betting Tips

The Premier League returns this weekend for another full slate of exciting action. We get started on Saturday night, with Manchester United looking for their first points as they travel to Brighton. Liverpool play host to Arsenal in the final game of the round, with both sides looking to continue their perfect starts. We’ll break down all 10 games on the slate here, identifying where the value lies.

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EPL Tips – Saturday, September 26

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United

Venue: Amex Stadium, Falmer | Start: 9:30 pm

United start as the comfortable $1.72 favourites here, with the Draw at $3.60 and Brighton out at $4.50. The Red Devils had an atrocious start to their season last time out, losing 3-1 at home to Crystal Palace.

Brighton has had a decent yet unspectacular start, winning one and losing one to sit in 8th place. Comparing their odds to last week, it’s safe to say the bookies are down on United here. $1.72 doesn’t look like bad value and I think they’ll ultimately secure a 2-1 win, currently paying $8.50.

I wouldn’t expect a blowout here and don’t mind the look of United by exactly 1 goal at $3.50. I could see them sneaking a late winner here, meaning Draw/Man United at $4.50 is firmly in play. On the totals side, over 2.5 goals at $1.85 and BTTS at $1.80 both seem to offer some early value.

In terms of goal scorers, Marcus Rashford and Neal Maupay appear to be the most likely to score for their respective sides.

Head to Head: United
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/United
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Draw
Anytime Goal: Rashford

EPL – Sunday, September 26

Crystal Palace v Everton

Venue: Selhurst Park, London | Start: 12:00 am

Everton open as $2.10 road favourites here, with the Draw at $3.25 and Palace out at $3.60. The Toffees have had a very good start to the season, winning their first two games and sitting in 2nd place.

Palace have also been excellent to start the campaign, beating both Southampton and United to sit in the top 5. The bookies appear to have really flipped their opinion of Everton after just two games, which could be a bit premature. I can see some value in Palace +1 at $1.67, with the Draw at $3.25 looking like the most likely outcome.

A 1-1 at $6.50 looks decently probable on the scorecast side, although $7 or better would make me much more confident. The half-time/full-time market has a few decent longshots, with Draw/Draw at $4.50 and Palace/Draw at $14 really sticking out.

I don’t have a strong opinion on the total, but $1.91 for BTTS looks to be worth a go. Both Zaha and Calvert-Lewin put on a scoring show last week and are the most likely to score for their respective sides.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Palace/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Palace +1
Anytime Goal: Calvert-Lewin

West Bromwich Albion v Chelsea

Venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich | Start: 2:30 am

Chelsea open as commanding $1.33 favourites here, with the Draw at $4.50 and West Brom out at $8. The Blues have had one win and one defeat in their first two games, currently sitting in 11th place.

West Brom have looked downright atrocious in their first two, currently dead last with no points. The price on Chelsea isn’t too enticing, but I can’t back West Brom after their showings so far. I’d expect a relatively comfortable Chelsea win, with a 3-1 scoreline at $11 looking like good value.

In a similar vein, both Chelsea/Chelsea at $2 and Chelsea -1 at $2 offer some additional value. Both sides do have some defensive vulnerabilities, so I don’t mind either over 2.5 at $1.63 or BTTS at $1.83.

It isn’t easy to pick a goalscorer in this one, but I quite like Mason Mount at healthy $3.75 odds.

Head to Head: Chelsea
Half-time/Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Chelsea -1
Anytime Goal: Mason Mount

Burnley v Southampton

Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley | Start: 5:00 am

Southampton open as $2.30 favourites here, with Burnley at $3.10 and the Draw at $3.25. The Saints haven’t had an impressive start to the campaign, losing both games to sit in 19th place. Burnley have played just once this season, a 2-goal loss to Leicester last time out.

I continue to think Southampton are a bit overvalued and don’t mind the look of Burnley at the +1 handicap here. A Draw at $3.25 is probably the best value on the board, but I can’t rule out the 1-0 Sean Dyche special either.

Burnley/Draw at $13 is a great longshot, while Draw/Draw at $4.50 isn’t half bad either. I do lean towards under 2.5 goals here, but am going with BTTS in a game that could easily be 1-1.

In line with my earlier predictions, Chris Wood to get on the scoresheet at $2.50 looks like the best of the anytime goalscorer market.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Burnley +1
Anytime Goal: Chris Wood

Sheffield United v Leeds United

Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield | Start: 9:00 am

Both sides open as equal $2.63 favourites here, with the Draw out at $3.25. Sheffield United have struggled in the early going this season, losing both of their games and sitting in 17th place. Leeds are 1-1 on the campaign and enter this one after an impressive win over Fulham last time out.

I think Sheffield United are better than what we’ve seen so far and fancy them to get a result here. The draw at $3.25 is really sticking out to me, with 1-1 at $6.50 probably the best scorecast value. From the half-time/full-time side, I’ll look to keep things simple by going with Draw/Draw at $4.50.

I do expect it to go under 2.5, although the $1.74 on offer isn’t great value, likewise for BTTS at $1.72. I can see both John Fleck at $4.50 and Patrick Bamford at $2.50 scoring for their respective sides.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: N/A
Anytime Goal: Bamford

Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle united

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London | Start: 11:00 pm

Tottenham open as very comfortable $1.40 favourites here, with the Draw at $4.50 and Newcastle out at $7.50. Spurs rebounded with a good win last time out and currently sit in 6th place with 3 points.

Newcastle also have 1 win and 1 draw on the season, sitting in 13th place on goal difference. I’d expect Spurs to get the job done at home here and don’t mind the look of 2-0 at $7.

Spurs/Spurs at $2.10, Spurs -1 at $2.20 and Spurs to win to nil at $2.30 are all alternative ways to attack this. Under 2.5 goals isn’t a bad bet at plus money, nor is ‘no’ in the BTTS market.

It’s tough to look past Harry Kane to get on the scoresheet, even though the current value isn’t the greatest.

Head to Head: Spurs
Half-time/Full-time: Spurs/Spurs
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Teams Score: No
Handicap: Spurs -1

EPL – Monday, September 28

Manchester City v Leicester City

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester | Start: 1:30 am

City open as very commanding $1.25 favourites here, with the Draw at $6 and Leicester out at $9.City have played just once in the league so far, opening their season with an impressive 3-1 win away at Wolves.

Leicester have also enjoyed a strong start to the new campaign and currently sit top of the table after their two games. City are facing a myriad of injuries, but I still think they’ve got enough talent to get the win here. I’m not a fan of the $1.25 price point, with the 2-1 scorecast bet looking like better value.

On the half-time/full-time side of things, draw/Man City at $4.20 is probably the best value on the board. I wouldn’t expect a blowout in this one, with Leicester +2 goals at near even money looking like solid odds.

Over 2.5 goals would be the expectation here, however the current $1.36 price point means it isn’t worth a bet.

In terms of goal scorers, KDB at $2.10 and Vardy at $3 both look like solid value.

Head to Head: Man City
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Man City
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Leicester +2
Anytime Goal: KDB

West Ham United v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Venue: London Stadium, London | Start: 4:00 am

Wolves open as $2 road favourites here, with the Draw at $3.30 and West Ham as $3.75 underdogs. The Hammers have struggled to start the campaign, losing both of their games to sit in 16th place.

Wolves have one win and one defeat thus far, good enough for 11th place in the table. It’s tough to get a read on either side at this point, but I think West Ham are a little undervalued here. I like them at the +1 handicap ($1.67) and would lean towards the draw at $3.30.

Draw/Draw at $5 is worth a shout, with Wolves/Draw at $13 looking like a very decent longshot. I wouldn’t expect goals to be at a premium here, with 1-1 at $6.50 and 0-0 at $9.50 the most likely final scores.

Under 2.5 goals at $1.71 looks to be the better side here, while the BTTS market should be left alone. If I had to pick a goalscorer here, Michail Antonio at $3 could be worth a shout.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Wolves/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: West Ham +1
Anytime Goal: Antonio

EPL Tips – 29th September

Fulham vs Aston Villa

Venue: | Start: 2:45 am

Aston Villa open as $2.50 road favourites here, with Fulham at $2.88 and the Draw on offer at $3.20. Villa have only played once so far, but they did manage an efficient 1-0 win against Sheffield United.

Fulham have looked a little off the pace so far, suffering two big defeats to currently sit in the bottom 3. Despite Fulham’s relatively poor form, I’m not ready yet to trust Villa as a road favourite. These are fairly similar teams in terms of quality and I’ll happily take the +1 with Fulham.

Draw/Draw would be my pick in the half-time/full-time market, currently available at $4.50. The draw at $3.20 is probably the best value on the board, with 1-1 and 0-0 again sticking out as likely scorelines.

I’d lean under 2.5 goals here, but don’t mind BTTS at $1.80, with the 1-1 looking especially possible.

Head to Head: Draw
Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Draw
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Fulham +1
Anytime Goal: N/A

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Venue: | Start: 5 am

Liverpool are comfortable $1.45 favourites here, with the Draw at $4.50 and Arsenal out at $6. Both sides have had impressive starts to the campaign, each winning their first two matches to sit in the top 4.

Despite Arsenal’s impressive start, it’s tough to overlook Liverpool at home here. I think they win by exactly 2 goals and don’t mind the -1 handicap at $2.25, as well as Liverpool/Liverpool at $2.20.

Both 2-0 at $8.50 and 3-1 at $11 look to be firmly in play and I’d probably lean towards the latter. I’d look to go over 2.5 goals and BTTS, although the current prices on each don’t look to be great value.

Salah and Mane have both been banging in the goals this season and look to be decent value to get on the scoresheet again here.

Head to Head: Liverpool
Half-time/Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both Teams Score: Yes
Handicap: Liverpool -1
Anytime Goal: Salah/Mane